Jeremiah

I have a saying I came up during my decade in customer service. I estimate that during that period I spoke one on one with roughly between 150k - 170k...

It is subsumed in science, literature, history, politics, art, etc. . . . They all do it, all by themselves. Also, if "philosophy" is part of every ot...

You can't prove free will until you disprove fairy magic. You can't prove free will until you disprove mind control Sun spots. You can't prove free wi...

Exactly how I am lowering the standard of empirical evidence? Freedom of choice is empirically demonstrable and your statement here is just a hollow f...

So your arumgent is that since we cannot disprove determinism then we cannot prove freewill. That is an impossible standard. I also cannot disprove fa...

I am a student of statistics, a data science. You are literally describing data science, which spans into all fields, including philosophy.

Hating takes to much effort and is a poor use of your time and energy. As such, I reserve hate only for loved ones, as they are the only ones worth th...

It is an emotion, which is considered intersubjectivally verifiable, or in other words you need to relate to his expression on an empathical level.

I don't think this has anything to do with logic, and this is posted in the wrong section.

We don't actually need philosophy for that, as that is not unique to philosophy. I would even argue that there are other academic areas that do a bett...

Think: How much porn do humans produce? Maybe it's the meaning of life.

God created us so he'd have some porn to watch.

I never understood this constant obsession with the sex lives of others. Is it envy?

The sample space is ,]. Notice how there are two 10s. Now show me the math which allows you to eliminate both of them.

Which 10 are you dropping 10=X or 10=2X? Also like I said I want to see the math.

No, that is what you are doing. You can't just drop the 10, it is still a possible outcome, as you don't know which 10 you are in. The sample space is...

I don't know why I waste my education and time.

Did you read the rest of my post? The math definitively proves you wrong. This is not a matter of opinion, you are just flat out wrong.

Your possible outcomes for A is 2X or X. In the outcome that A=X then B=2X, in the outcome that A=2X then B=X. So yes, it seems, B has two possible ou...

What you are saying is the equivalence of suggesting 2+2 =5. You can't setp outside the definitions simply because they are an inconvenience you, as t...

This right here does not go away simply because I miss defined a sample space in a different post. This is still true and proves you wrong. It is stil...

I already admitted to the mistake, then corrected my position. You just get into rapid fire mode and you miss half of what is being said.

Ya, jumped the gun there and made a mistake myself (unlike you I am able to admit that). However, if you going to use my argument to justify your posi...

Your sample space becomes: ,]. Edit* This post contains an error see the next page for clarification.

Feigning ignorance does not resolve the conflict. As I have said many times over, the sample space of the other envelope is . That is not that hard to...

You read it too fast and understood too little. I very clearly and fully addressed your concern.

You just said it yourself the sample space for both is X and 2X. It went over this right here: https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/19285...

Flip a coin. A simple random sample, which is what Classical statistics is based on, is a subset of a population which is obtained by a process which ...

Based on your knowledge you know that the sample space has to follow the algebraic form of ,and you know by the definition of a sample space, that you...

Fraud.

Deleting my post doesn't make you right.

Classical and Bayesian analyses are both methods of statistics. Statistics is a data science, as in the analysis of data. They are not used or fit for...

I doubt you could even explain the differences.

If you have to limit your number of trials to leverage your prior then you are essentially doing the equivalence of p-hacking.

Expected gains are an average over the long run. Probability is the frequency of occurrences of repeated random events and that includes only possible...

That is far from a proof and the only thing it displayed is your lack of understanding of what expected gains are.

If you simulated a data set for the two envelopes, then did a Classical analysis and a Baysian analysis they would both come out to the same solution....

That is not a Classical statistics interpretation. Classical statistics is based on using estimated variance. However, while we are on this topic, the...

The very definition of probability is the frequency of occurrences over repeated random events. The first time is no different than the 10,000th time....

I value freedom and the right of free expression and only in that interest do I tolerate their presence but in no way do I respect their views. There ...

Do you realize that expected gain is an average between gains and losses? It is stuff like this that makes me doubt your vague claim about your employ...

Not buying it, as you have displayed a large lack of comprehension here.

It is not unknown at all, as I just laid it out for you, and as I already pointed out 1/2X+X reflected the expected gains from the real world example....

Well technically this is a probability distribution: 1/2(X) + 1/2(2X). 50% is distributed to X and 50% is distributed to 2X. But what you are talking ...

No one said a probability density curve was used to select X. And it won't matter anyway, as X is a real positive value, 2X will always be greater tha...

It is an interesting problem nonetheless. Let me see if I can sum it up more simply. You have two envelopes, A and B. There are two possible amounts f...

Up until I introduced the real world example, we both were looking at as if we were participates. Michael and I were looking at the same problem in th...

The tick to this problem is trusting the algebra over your eyes, which makes it less than intuitive. In this case the new information you receive can ...

I already did. Recall that my initial algebraic model was based on all the same information as Michael and I used an uninformative prior, and my appro...

If you follow the algebra it leads you to a solution which reflects a real world situation and when it comes to modeling probability this should be th...