Jeremiah

Not true. Even after seeing the first envelope you still don't know which case you are in, you could have 2X or X, you also don't know what case the o...

I picked this version to generate more discussion. I think this version of the problem forces more conflict of ideas, which in turn generates more dis...

This has nothing to do with Classical vs. Bayesian. This is about treating X as an unknown, even after you see the contents of the first envelope. If ...

What you are overlooking with the real world example is that my algebraic model reflected it exactly and all from the same information you confined yo...

Also, calling Obama an idiot does not bother me one bit. It never has, and that is because it is not true. Say what you will about Obama, but the man ...

I am starting to wonder if people are really offended by the crudeness of the word idiot, or the fact that it is targeted at Trump.

That has to be one of the most thoughtless sentences I have ever heard expressed.

If you don't want to read my post then don't; but reading them then complaining about them kind of seems like you enjoy the engagement on some level. ...

One can only explain things so many different ways. I could keep rephrasing the same thing over and over, but as much fun as that it is, it gets tirin...

Your math and code is wrong, and it has been shown as wrong several time. Pointing to your incorrect math does not prove you right.

The algebra already showed that you are wrong in more ways than one and so does a real world example. You are not averaging your expected returns over...

What we have to do is average the expected returns between the two cases. 1/2(5) + 1/2(10) = 7.50 the mid point between 5 and 10. Therefore there is n...

You are saying if you switch then you have 50% chance for 1/2X and a 50% for 2X and your argument is centered around expected gain. Which you claim is...

That is because mine is set up correctly while yours is set up incorrectly. You are adding up sums of known numbers. Where mine is adding up an unknow...

At any rate I think the probability of me going to get something to eat is very high at this time.

X is an unknown, so you can't treat it as a known.

You are forgetting that X is a variable.

Recall that event L is when you start with 2X and event K is when you start with X Since we don't know which it is upon seeing the money we will consi...

I don't think that is quite the right way to look at this. Let's try mapping this out and go back to our cases which I hope we are on the same page no...

Ya, I am moving that way, I am working on it now.

Only if you have X.

The fact that X is a variable is what makes this different, as even if you know the amount in one envelope you still don't know if that amount it is X...

Look here: Case one X = 5. You lose 5 bucks. You had 10 and now you have 5. Means you lost 5 and in that case X = 5. Therefore you got a -X. Case two ...

There are two possibilities in this case either X = 5 or X = 10 Case one X = 5 If you have 2X and switch then you are left with 5 bucks. You had 10 an...

It is the same thing, the math comes out exactly the same.

Your expected gain and loss is tied to the uncertainty of what you start with.

You just said the same exact thing I did, as it can only be half X if you start with 2X. Which still results with a -1 X.

I am not sure that is quite right, as you have added information that was not in the OP. In your example you have a starting amount that is known, but...

Yes.

I really doubt you have the grit for it.

I am sure that is your typical approach to the world, but I have made several reasoned arguments filled with relative content.

Not at all what I asked.

Do you apply that same standard to Trump?

Modern "philosophy" is far too subjective and it seems some people are in the habit of using the word as a slap on sticker label to superficially elev...

One does not have to be nice to be right. Trump has done and said many things which demonstrates he is on the lower end of the intelligence scale and ...

A judge tries to end child separation and she/he is pissed over it. I thought the Left was the supposed emotional side.

I never claimed to have all the answers, my position was and still is that child separation is wrong. One does not have to be all knowing to know that...

Not sure what this has to do with the accompanied minors that were removed from their parents who were accompanying them. Why you would think that som...

That is what I kept trying to tell you. The rest of your post is of course hyperbolic nonsense.

Interesting how you also display a lack of empathy here.

Sounds like a stereotype of people you decide to label "bully".

A federal judge in California has issued a nation wide injunction to bar the practice of child separation and ordered the parents be reunited. 17 US s...

I like how the Republican Congress is going to take a 10 day recess while 2000+ children still remain separated and immigration is in a total mess. Th...

You inspired me to start a new project... The Almighty Trump ( A Rough Draft) There was a man named Trump, His skin was oddly orange and his gut was o...

No one here is asking for open borders which means, such an argument is nothing but a straw man. It is also fully possible for a president to be a clu...

The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has stopped referring adults with child for criminal prosecution. They claim that Trump's last EO makes it impo...

Oh I am doing "philosophy" as well. :wink: Not at all what I was talking about. What I meant was that I don't need you notes on person to person commu...

My goal is never to change a hardcore racist, that is generally a waste of time. They are not rational people, and using reason on them typically does...

Please stop trying to sell me. You said your part already and I am simply not interested. I have my own thoughts and views and I am not as clueless in...

http://thehill.com/latino/393856-migrants-told-theyll-be-reunited-with-children-if-they-sign-voluntary-deportation Coercion using child hostages.