Srap Tasmaner

If you could prove that always switching is the best strategy over the long term, doesn't that amount to proving that you are more likely to have chos...

Think I'll have time today to do the picture theory post, and then we can talk.

I'm not convinced, but I'll think about it. While I'm thinking, I'd ask that you think about your use of words like "direct", "directly experienced", ...

I can experience the effect a baseball has on me when it hits me in the face. I can experience the effect a baseball has on me when it's flying throug...

You feel the actual electromagnetic force itself, rather than its effects on you? That is a surprising claim. (So far as effects on you go, seeing is ...

What does my version of the argument look like with a specific example? (1A) We can only think about apples if we have experience of apples. (2A) We o...

If proprioception is good enough to establish the experience of causality, why isn't visual perception?

This whole approach is wrong though, isn't it? You know that you had a 1/2 chance of picking the envelope with the larger amount. That's just not the ...

Change it to "sense". Are you certain proprioception bypasses Hume?

How would you go about establishing that (1) is true or false, or convincing someone to assent to (1) or its negation? On its face, (1) has kind of an...

What sorts of claims are (1) and (2)? Are they empirical? If empirical, is one or both a question a question for psychology? What exactly do we mean b...

What's still missing is something like this: (1) We can only think about what we have experience of. (2) We only have experience of particulars. ? (3)...

You need to spell out why these two conditions give rise to a problem. What problem?

The issue of guarantee arises when it is suggested that explicit prior agreement solves such problems. It doesn't. (What's more, in the case of langua...

Thanks for spelling it all out. I think I've got it now.

We also want to get such coordination without explicit agreements.

Ah, philosophy, your generosity is but an illusion! So the way to do cases here goes: If Y = X, then ... If Y = 2X, then ... and it's okay to treat ea...

But that's the whole issue, just pushed back. Even if there is such an agreement, and even if it is explicit, what guarantee does any member of the gr...

The other way to put this is that after learning the envelope has Y in it, we know that either Y/2 or 2Y are in the distribution, but we cannot know w...

So you did. But if we try to model this from the participant's point of view, we don't use X at all; we use Y. Then the expected gain loss sample spac...

Sure. This is the whole point of the stag hunt, that no individual can be independently acquire a stag. Okay, agreed. Individuals act, not groups, yes...

Something's amiss here. In the first quote you do not include the possibility of wealth transfer from others. If you do not change "can acquire" to "c...

If you know this is the procedure, then you know the distribution. You don't, so you don't. I wish I could answer this question. Does the principle of...

Is there a sort of de dicto/de re problem here in how we think about the probabilities? That is, is there a difference between these? (1) In repeated ...

So you would have voted (4) Not just Western civilization, but all of them, son, all of them! Haven't done Diamond, though I've heard him intone the t...

I think you begin to do philosophy not when you think about things, but when you think about how thinking about things is done, could be done, should ...

Btw -- and this is me still uncertain whether I've offended you -- the idea that a certain way of doing philosophy is a kind of localized imperialism ...

Not trying to oversimplify you. Just thought there might be an underlying allegiance to your thoughts on philosophy and politics. Finally getting to t...

Will come back to the other stuff. I was starting to see something like an aggressive/pacifist divide. Philosophically, on one side there would be the...

It's not clear to me whether this puts you in the "it's how we think" camp. Is there only the one way of raising children in the European tradition --...

I'm still here too. I thought I would get up something about the picture theory to finish off prop 2. Then we could spend some time reviewing and talk...

Am I alone in having a viscerally negative reaction to this sort of thinking? On the one hand, I think philosophy, much like science, begins in everyd...

Maybe some of you can help me with this. Here's an argument, statement really, I've always found specious: • Guns don't kill people; people do. I find...

Do we think the Quine-Duhem thesis shows that no particular theoretical entity is "absolutely" necessary? (I.e., necessity is theory relative.) The th...

And that just looks like choosing not to engage with the verificationist position at all. (I would add a caveat about "determining" the truth: a verif...

We could start there. "In principle" is up for negotiation. Can you come up with a hypothetical way to verify that there really are entities you'd cal...

Anything in the answers already given you would count as a disaster and attribute to something you'd be willing to call "Western civilization"?

Nobody thinks that's a criterion for meaningfulness. Anyone who goes down the verificationist road will say, x is a meaningless proposition if it cann...

Not only is that true, but, as Arlie Russell Hochschild argues in Strangers in Their Own Land, Republicans deeply resent being told by the Left how th...

Wait, really? Here's a poll from 2015. The pollster gets a B rating from 538, and shows a tiny Democratic lean. You can argue race is not a factor her...

?

That was "I" because I didn't want to speak for anyone else! Plus I'm choosing to take Pseudo's comment in sensu diviso -- more or less against his ex...

Oy! I think I'm making progress! And the work is good for me.

Hmmm, have decided it's better to give a "no such thing" option, since partisans of the other options would also disagree with the partisans of option...

Oh yeah, meant to say, "If you don't think there is such a thing, don't vote," but I forgot. I'll add that. ADDED: Shoot! Have to amend the question a...

While waiting around, I started reading The False Prison by David Pears, and within a few pages it is suggested that this little exchange is very near...

An atomic fact is absolutely a bit here, good call. I don't think though that a complex has an extra bit that's on or off; either the right set of bit...

Last last part, some of what each of us had right and wrong: You were right that Sachlage is associated with possibility -- it's possible assignments ...

Last part. We call the partition in effect, that Sachlage, "reality", so it's the complete set of obtaining and non-obtaining atomic facts. The world ...

I haven't gone back to the text, but here's my new thought: There's the logical space of possible atomic facts. That's all of them, with no thought at...