This is not my theory at all. "Drip Feed theory" (DFT) is that what is sent to Ukraine depends on what kind of help will prop up Ukraine in the short ...
I literally say "Of course, maybe Russia will 'tire out'," followed with "feel free to present evidence that will happen 'this time' ", and ending wit...
You can't be on the defensive all the time in football, you can be on the defensive all the time in a war. Of course, there are offensive actions that...
Did you even read what I wrote? What I wrote assumed Ukraine's goal of "freedom" and pointed out that freeing a few while putting the rest at risk mak...
The point is Ukraine doesn't have such helicopters to be shot down. The other point would be the damage these helicopters do. Sure, Ukraine can shoot ...
First, the reasoning is not odd, it didn't happen because that was not the intention. Second, I've explained dozens of times already that the drip fee...
I guess just playing dumb is the copium of choice at this stage of the war. But to play along to your obtuse delusions, "freeing" a bunch of people, m...
Obviously if the intention was to actually "beat" the Russians then that's what would have occurred. It didn't occur because that is not the intention...
Which then accomplishes what? What did the withdrawal from Kherson and around Kharkiv accomplish for the Ukrainians other than feeding the narrative t...
This was Ukraine's militarily nonsensical reasoning for their offensive. Nonsensical because achieving an "arbitrary political border for x date" had ...
NATO's planes and submarines and missiles and nuclear weapons are definitely a threat. I personally have my doubts as to the effectiveness of the F-35...
I've explicitly stated multiple times that one of my purposes in the thread is to explain Russia's perspective as mutual understanding is required to ...
It is a big problem if you're logistics hubs can be hit by missiles, grid and rail disabled, and also that it just takes time to move things over this...
Seems the confusion was caused by above statement, by referring to them as conscripts it would seem to mean they are conscripted, but I have not found...
I did not deny saying this and I pointed it out it's true. Where I am unsure the citation is from me or someone else I say so. And again, why not just...
There is no tiptoeing, there's a very clear objective to weaken Europe, in particular the Euro, and give money to the defence contractors and start a ...
The clear arguments were that Ukraine has less man power, far less material in what you are now calling a material war, barely any airforce, needing t...
What's even worse is that early on I also put it to the "pro-Ukrainians" that if Ukrainian former lands is so important, why not send NATO boots on th...
When I have the time I'll go through my posts and cite myself explaining that not only does Ukraine have no reasonable chance of winning in military t...
Just too ironic. And not just for months, since the very beginning clear arguments have been presented of why it's simply unfeasible for Ukraine to at...
If you understood anything about how the commodities market works internationally -- or then read and reflected on even a small part of what I explain...
Good that this little interlude is over. However, the data can be completely correct even for commodities. Saying the exports are denominated in Ruble...
Russia's economic situation would be difficult if it was in or we had reason to believe it was heading towards recession, that's what all these variou...
To give an alternative possibility than the frozen conflict hypothesis of @"ssu", the weapons systems being used are too advanced and too destructive ...
We're discussing the hypothetical situation where at the start of the war NATO provided Ukraine no limits support and Ukraine routing the Russians and...
No where do I say the depreciation of the Ruble is "great for Russia", I explain why the Russian central bank supported the Ruble and how letting the ...
If the Kremlin was faced with the unravelling of the Russian economy and state, from their perspective, nuking Ukraine would be stabilising. Certainly...
You have a remarkable ability to have zero clue what you're talking about. Russian resources are sold at international prices and if offered at a disc...
That's why I literally say: I say "in this case of the Russian government or "regime" or whatever you want to call it" as military defeat could spiral...
In terms of domestically and international politics, had NATO truly done "what it takes" and given Ukraine all manner of military equipment Ukraine co...
In other words, you agree with my analysis and the depreciation of the Rubble is not a problem, may even boost Russian exports and thus help that trad...
what leaves out from his commentary on the Rubble exchange rate is: First, the energy contracts Russia insisted on Rubble payments was to "unfriendly ...
Thanks for adding "sort of", but, yes, it is obvious even to staunch supporters of the war that Ukraine doesn't get "whatever it takes". However, we a...
Ok, thanks for just spelling out the obvious nature of the position, that the West's position is that Ukrainian sovereignty is not worth dying for (to...
You guys work yourselves up into a righteous moral frenzy about Ukrainian sovereignty, and then when I mention the option of raising the flag, beating...
What does your comment have to do with my comment? Are you disputing the fact that other Western countries, and also all the other countries, have not...
It is totally different. There is no moral imperative to supply arms. And don't move the goal posts from "free and prosperous" to "independent". Reall...
This is your problem, you are talking in complete abstractions of what's preferable. Neither @"Isaac" nor the whole of the UK where he lives, or me an...
I've been away for a couple of weeks, but below is a saved post I didn't finish writing. Considering Prigozhin seems still alive and seems to have eve...
Prigozhin isn't a politician with a constituency and has zero official command of anything that would be important for a coup, such as a military dist...
True, but Wagner could recruit from prisons only because the Russian state allowed that to legally happen, precisely for the purposes of having prison...
Well good we agree his reputation in the West is irrelevant, and I assume you agree with my point of reputation vis-a-vis other authoritarians. As for...
This is not what I've stated. I've stated the belief that Russian intelligence can orchestrate the US elections is incompatible with the belief that a...
Well, give it a go. Why would the entire Russian military and intelligence structure of Russia tolerate Prigozhin criticising them for months and mont...
There's plenty of benefits we can analyse. My point about benefits we are too unsophisticated to even know is in the context of people think Russian i...
To put things in context, the current top headlines on CNN are: - Putin claims Russia would have put down 'armed rebellion' - Russia President Address...
For sure it will remain confusing. However, the fright will dissipate with everything going back to normal/ But for any normal person, they will defin...
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