This is just meant as an example of what Ukraine could try to get from the West using the leverage of ending the war (which some parties wanted, such ...
I am in the midst of writing a response to your previous comments, which also contains this same denialism: Which is just so preposterously bad faith ...
Me, you owe nothing. If you have been paying attention, I have already explained several times the basics of negotiation. Attempting to redefine the t...
Agreed. Western policy has been a complete disaster, it's now becoming obvious, so denialists must retreat into the safety of thought terminating clic...
may simply not have the time to unpack the obvious, but fortunately I do so I'm happy to dissect all the myths that cloud and manipulate your judgemen...
Well I agree the war was extremely likely and it's definitely a testament to the power of the neo-cons that they can simply continue the policy withou...
That's good to know. Well then it seems we are of one mind on the matter and Zelensky disagrees with what is obvious truth to us. I agree it's mostly ...
You obviously didn't read what I wrote. I explicitly stated I disagree with the narrative that the US forced Zelensky to abandon negotiating but neede...
It's a truism that you state. I agree with your truism and then you complain about me agreeing with your truism. What is not a truism is that we agree...
What misunderstanding? Can you even cite where we've even discussed Poland, the Baltics and other EE countries joining NATO? You're literally making u...
Your first claim was literally: So for the benefit of anyone following that does not already think you are a complete fool, that is called moving the ...
We seem then to be on agreement of the principle point that if there was a suitable peace available based on an "acceptable neutrality", before or at ...
This was the most widely reported and only one example is required to disprove your assertion that Russia did not shell anything of military / industr...
Yes, obviously the separatists cannot prevail by themselves and already required support in 2014 and support would inevitably require escalation to ei...
No problem, I am happy to teach you. First as I've already explained, it's completely irrational to refuse negotiating as the weaker party to a confli...
For people interested in actual reality, the second most basic of all military strategies immediately following the use of force, is deceiving the ene...
That's exactly what happens. The "limited excursion" into South-Eastern Ukraine refers to establishing a land bridge to Crimea. Literally called by th...
Well, considering the shelling I was referring to is explicitly described as artillery shelling by the primary source for the information (the municip...
The key paragraph to understand the report is on page 14: The report explains the narrative in the media of what Putin is allegedly planning to do, an...
What are you talking about? Are you unable to read?? The report literally starts by stating that conquering all of Ukraine is basically impossible if ...
What was RAND corporation saying before the war: RAND essentially argues against what the US policy ultimately does: The conclusion of the brief of th...
He is saying the same thing as I just said, that Ukraine can put up fierce resistance but Their helicopter and jet fleet could be essentially "wiped o...
Russia has now more soldiers and more experienced and battle hardened soldiers and have learned how to effectively employ combined arms at scale (whic...
I agree that Russia does not intend to conquer all of Ukraine in any case, and "losing the war" for Ukraine means losing significant territory. Not an...
Where you are wrong: Let's start with the shelling industrial targets which was widely reported but you seem to want to deny: The article in question ...
No, it's called a prediction. Being confident in a prediction, such as the sun will rise tomorrow as it did today, does not take away from its predict...
The siege lasted "lasted from 25 February 2022 to 2 April 2022" (to cite Wikipedia), so lasted more than the entire month of March, but true it is clo...
I agree that Putin et. al. may have believed in a quick and easy victory, either confident in their cunning or then underestimating both the Ukrainian...
You're very late to the discussion, all these points have been discussed already at length, but the 200 000 troops Russia committed to invading Ukrain...
... People definitely seem to be denying exactly that: But if we agree the Russian plan isn't incompetent then that's progress in the debate. Neither ...
Well if we agree that the current fighting is attritional, then tiring out the Russians is a much better strategy than throwing battalions at heavily ...
This is also a suitable time to remind everyone here that as I predicted at the start of the war, the advanced hand held missile systems supplied to U...
Here are the key points from the latest Time update on the war, just without a paywall: In particular the point about casualties is the main determini...
Well we agree that Putin would have preferred total unconditional surrender, but there's really zero reason to believe Putin or anyone in Russia thoug...
I literally state: It's quite usual that large military operations accomplish several things. It's honestly remarkable how committed people are to bel...
This is the argument in a nutshel that Kiev should have taken Russia's peace terms before or then after the war broke out: where the border is exactly...
Again, in a fixing operation, your goal is to commit the least amount of forces needed to tie up a maximum of the opponents forces. Even if there's no...
In Putin's view Zelensky is an actor and so perhaps Putin expects it's entirely possible Zelensky plays whatever part the US wants him to play. For ex...
This has been argued many times, I can cite previous conversation if you want. But good to know you aren't arguing this, in which case it should be pr...
Even within your own logic, a puppet of who? Obviously the US, and the US was clearly not interested in peace, rejecting to even discuss Russia's peac...
Although of course far more focus was paid to damage to civilian zones, the shelling of industrial zones was covered even by the Western media. This i...
What's incoherent about applying political pressure, a fixing operation, shelling targets of military value for 2 months as well as causing a flood of...
That there was no intention or plan to occupy Kiev does not mean it was a fake attack. The purpose was to pressure Ukrainians / Zelensky into negotiat...
Ignore what evidence? I went and looked for ISW tally of Russian and Ukrainian losses, as even if heavily biased towards supporting Western narratives...
I'd like to elaborate on this for the benefit of people who have been confused by Western propaganda that spins military hardware and assistance as no...
I do not find where ISW makes any tally of Russian losses. Oryx methodology is an absolute joke; they count any piece of video provided by Ukraine wit...
Russia takes 20% of Ukraine territory and your conclusions is: Apparent to whom? What evidence? You demand others provide evidence (often of completel...
Yes, it's almost impossible to envision in the actual war at hand. Unlike some remote and exotic place that normal people don't care about, the war is...
Where do I say it's impossible? It's called evidence. Actual evidence is needed to support the idea that Ukraine is winning or can win in this case ag...
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