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If we can model our reality better with multiverse models than without, then why wouldn't it be science? Everybody ought to understand that it's a mod...

Hmmm... has then Israel won any of it's wars against it's neoghbors? It still has them around and never have Israeli soldiers entered Damascus, Amman ...

What? Oh you think that a -40% drop in GDP, a naval blockade and every tenth citizen being a refugee don't have real life implication quite somehow co...

Nope. Anyone serious hasn't said that. With every tenth Ukrainian being a refugee, the GDP having crashed and the possibility of hyperinflation would ...

We can agree that the global economic system is complex and complex phenomenon like "inflaton" don't have unipolar reasons. Well then, do they accept ...

There you are going on against a lot of military analysts, to whom it's their actual job to analyze these. First of all, a military operation to do su...

Really, officially? Are the central banks accepting the blame themselves for the inflation? I don't think it was so. Never has that happened. Oh no, y...

:100: :up:

Seems like Ukraine has achieved a strategic surprise. All the talk about the counterattack in the Kherson region. Even the civilians were warned about...

And then he might declare full-scale mobilization. Never underestimate a country that goes full-time war economy.

Seems that the Ukrainian counteroffensive is going somewhere. Hopefully they can retain and continue the drive. :up: Russians can be gotten to negotia...

I think it should have been quite easy to anticipate what would happen when Europe puts sanctions on Russia. But in hindsight, that didn't seem to be ...

Yet one should understand that the role of money supply isn't going to officially acknowledged. It can be said when referring to Turkey (or Ukraine de...

Thus housing prices aren't counted when talking about inflation. Rents don't change as much, hence they are usually preferred. It's not a conspiracy, ...

Oh I agree. But the problem is when the discourse stays on that level when making actual decisions. Politicians just love grandstanding and hence the ...

Prosperity and wealth is a sociological phenomenon, so yes, it hasn't got anything to do with biology.

Wrong models won't just alienate those that aren't already convinced, they simply can contribute to wrong policies. It's not just pep talk. If a forec...

I agree. Just as in the Zeihan example, over dramatization still is not great when you are dealing with facts. It's far too easy to ask the question: ...

Let's remember that for 20 years the nuclear codes were “00000000” in Minuteman silos.

We know, NOS. And in Canada you are a spectator, just like me. So getting your popcorn ready for the binge watching of blood on the streets? https://i...

Yes. We can always just hope for the Yellowstone supervolcano to erupt. Then we'll have those nice cold winters and beautiful sunsets for a long time....

Because it sells in America. Polarization rules.

And that's alarmism. Call something existential when it's really existential, then you don't fall into alarmism: of making unwarranted claims. The Sun...

And so do children from malnutrition in the Sahel region, and people in the conflicts there, where part of the reason is surely climate change. A lot ...

Oh, but that's call change. Like in climate change. And I'm not so sure climate change will kill you and all of your family. Or mine.

I don't think so. At least me I think that climate change is a real problem for us and it has been happening already for a long time. And will be to u...

That's correct. The only way to destroy American democracy is to say that you are protecting it from a clear and obvious threat. And then really belie...

I think this is one of the main concerns for many. Alarmism is creeping into many discourses, actually. Public discourse often is held hostage by loon...

What do you mean here by 'basic economic parity'? And what do you have in mind when saying "a system that works better"? With any medium of exchange t...

Yeah. (And too bad he hadn't those Wehrmacht generals he'd wished he had. Perhaps then we would have had that unfortunate helicopter accident with Mar...

Ukraine is surely given top satellite information. And don't forget the simply thing as people taking videos and posting them on the net. This was act...

They had to barter. Simple as that. The society was totally different and nowhere near the advance system of our society. Oh right... so a two hundred...

Do you personally want everything to be an automate drive or walkthrough? I think I'd pay that few cents (and likely more) for the smile from the huma...

The free rider problem, among others. And the incentive problem. If how much I do work (or not) doesn't show in my income, wealth position or status, ...

If you get more as unemployed than working at McDonalds, who would work at McDonalds? It's not an awesome bonus on your CV. Or at least when your in y...

Most? Of course not. But it is simply a wealth transfer. And those who have no other income, it works just like an unemployment benefit. And also, imp...

Ah. I should have seen that coming. Hopefully we can still get a good discussion. Money is an interesting phenomenon in our society.

Very difficult, because you already have said that "to you it makes perfect sense". How could anybody then alter your thinking? Really? Are you open t...

Oh, it's quite convoluted as you talk Quantitative Easing and many start with silly arguments because it's really not physical money printing. But tak...

If you understand two things: 1) That money is created through the issuance of debt. and 2) Fiscal and monetary policy do interact, especially when th...

I might add to this that something that confuses the discussion is that basic market mechanisms, that is when free market sets the price because of su...

A bit on the statistics: Which basically means that Russia can still fight on for quite some time without it's tank fleet being finished.

I think the basic flaw is this messaging of collapse. Yeah, it sells, get's attention, it gets hits, we know, but still... Now Peter Zeihan is an inte...

Wow. And I can remember the time, not so long ago, that other planets outside our solar system were a theory, even if quite realistic one which the ma...

Just think about a limited scenario: What if in this Forum there are only two people and you, @"Benj96", are the other and the other one is just a fra...

Ummm.... which "years of political violence and persecution" are you referring and where? :chin:

The current Spanish PM seems to fit the male version of good looking. Seems that many times he got into positions as "replacement". And he came to be ...

And even if young beautiful women can be capable, they are just a few. Marin had been less than a year in a ministerial position (minister of transpor...

Yeah, some feel that way. Yet I think a more pressing issue is that this administration is spending like crazy, trying to stimulate things when there ...

What is likely going to happen is that the population of China will get a lot smaller. Something what has happened to Japan. Otherwise, China will sur...