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Count Timothy von Icarus

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Sure, but Israel is at risk of running low on PGMs in the short turn, not "all munitions." They would run low on dumb munitions only after firing 60 y...
October 13, 2023 at 10:11
Nah, that's much more true of the early Empire. After Trajan the boundaries don't really expand, only shrink, but that's 359 years before the Western ...
October 13, 2023 at 09:46
When it was united under Ottoman rule. So see, Erdogan deserves a Nobel peace prize! Although, I would point out that it was peaceful for longer under...
October 12, 2023 at 20:45
Wouldn't the correct solution be to be nuanced in both directions? "We reject the practices of killing civilians or abusing them on both sides because...
October 12, 2023 at 19:20
Israel needs more PGMs because PGMs are expensive and no one has enough for any sort of sustained warfare. This was made obvious during Odyssey Dawn, ...
October 12, 2023 at 18:54
This sort of thing is in the headlines though, just not top international news. It's how many previous episodes of violence have started. And Israel's...
October 10, 2023 at 11:33
Right, if they wanted to kill a bunch of people they could lob artillery shells with impunity and do that from saftey. But there is a recognition that...
October 09, 2023 at 18:02
Right, and this definition of objective is what I most took issue with in my original response. I think it's lumping multiple ideas together that are ...
October 09, 2023 at 16:59
Not sure what you mean by "fed," but you could probably say "yes," in a few ways. The defeat of ISIS was fed by the Saudis and other Arab states who l...
October 09, 2023 at 15:22
They absolutely have the ability for a war. They have a fairly large, professional force. But they also lack the conventional forces, artillery, tanks...
October 09, 2023 at 14:22
I recall an essay I read a while back by a Lebanese woman who lived through the civil war. She talked about how attacks simply became a reason onto th...
October 09, 2023 at 14:05
I don't think any Arab states forgot they exist. Half the reason Gazans have nowhere to go is that they are blockaded by an Arab country. The shift ha...
October 09, 2023 at 13:38
Your guess is as good as mine. I would hope cooler heads prevail. I would think it's more likely that it stays contained to Gaza because Iran's only w...
October 09, 2023 at 00:43
Gotcha. I see what you mean. I agree, most people don't think of "mind independent reality" the way I put it. I brought it up that way though because ...
October 09, 2023 at 00:24
That and they go through the Eastern Med anyhow. Following the attack, other Iranian affiliated groups have made threats on US bases "across the regio...
October 08, 2023 at 23:30
I'm just not sure if the bolded part follows here. It seems more like the reverse conclusion should be true. If: 1. The mind cannot know mind independ...
October 08, 2023 at 19:41
Big questions about elections in Ukraine. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-elections-war.html Interestingly, watch dog...
October 08, 2023 at 19:23
I would have to imagine Egypt is lobbying quite hard against a ground incursion. I can't imagine public opinion won't turn against the blockade if peo...
October 08, 2023 at 19:11
BTW, I'm reading this right now: https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/91j2SRjNKJL._AC_UF1000,1000_QL80_.jpg It has a similar set of ideas at its core, ...
October 08, 2023 at 18:58
Tehran might want a conflict to distract from their domestic woes, but Russia? This seems like nothing but risk for Russia. What happens if Tehran dec...
October 08, 2023 at 18:48
This was perhaps true in the 1990s and very early 2000s, and maybe has some truth to it in the median preferences of "people on the street," but those...
October 08, 2023 at 18:24
I don't think Israel getting recognition and treaties with Arab states can be chalked up to Hamas "not carrying out enough attacks." Quite the opposit...
October 08, 2023 at 12:20
This just seems to be intentionally misunderstanding what people mean by "unprovoked." It's that the attack wasn't in response to an ongoing series of...
October 07, 2023 at 23:31
Yeah, and the justification for a more "mass shooting," less "military objectives" style of attack also rings pretty hollow vis-á-vis the Hamas leader...
October 07, 2023 at 22:02
I don't know if "being better than Trump," is necessarily the standard to aspire to. But yeah, the lack of a focus on developing young leaders is a pr...
October 07, 2023 at 18:20
Parties can enforce discipline on rank and file members by threatening to withhold fund raising assets, donations, endorsements, committee assignments...
October 07, 2023 at 13:01
If I had to guess the impetus for the timing I would guess that Hamas looked at the approval, funding, and volunteer boost Islamic Jihad got from thei...
October 07, 2023 at 12:07
Fiasco for sure. I'm surprised the Dems voted for removal TBH. It would have been a good move towards forcing the GOP towards the sort of compromise p...
October 07, 2023 at 11:51
A pale echo of a previous successful surprise attack on the eve of a Jewish religious holiday. The 1973 offensive began 50 years ago to the day (Yom K...
October 07, 2023 at 11:22
No, I understood the distinction, you did a fine job describing it. What I was saying is this: were we able to manipulate our own sentience/experience...
October 06, 2023 at 20:42
Right, but it isn't just translation. We'd need some sort of very good predictive capability. Something like, "I'm going to run this program on the Ne...
October 06, 2023 at 19:02
BTW, it occured to me that a very similar set of problems addressed by this OP shows up in phenomenology through the debate about transparency and obj...
October 06, 2023 at 17:00
Ah, like Iraq forced the US to invade it by violating US red lines? Or like the Poles forced Hitler to invade by violating his red lines?
October 06, 2023 at 15:51
I think it's a bit of an historical accident that evolutionary biology has become so tied to battles over religion. Basically, you had support for evo...
October 06, 2023 at 15:26
I don't think so. The "hard problem," is the problem of explaining how consciousness arises and how it produces its subjective qualities through a sci...
October 06, 2023 at 14:42
Absolutely. At one point, all of the universe was contained in one point, so it's unclear if there can be anything that fails to causally affect our e...
October 06, 2023 at 14:10
Indeed. I think it might be a mistake to think perspective emerges at life in the first place. The idea of a totally distinct "semiotic cut," occurrin...
October 06, 2023 at 13:43
Sure, but they might be very different from the abstract idea of "very causally disconnected stuff in deep space," that I have. Since everything is ul...
October 06, 2023 at 12:31
Nice piece. It's a clear framing of a problem that is at the heart of modern "popular metaphysics." I find myself agreeing with what I took to be the ...
October 06, 2023 at 01:27
:up: And of course the regularities of our world, the seeming logos for lack of a better term, certainly can be used to make an argument about the div...
October 05, 2023 at 01:03
Not in my experience, but it might be selection bias. Certainly it is sometimes used to challenge the plausibility of "the universe is necessarily mea...
October 04, 2023 at 17:38
Metaphysics seems inseparable from science to me. After all, aren't discussions about whether species really exist discussions about ontology, what ex...
October 03, 2023 at 14:55
Seems like six of one, half dozen of the other. If the regularities are there, then "what mathematics describes," is everywhere in the universe, even ...
October 03, 2023 at 12:13
It's perfect correlation such that knowing "bishop" entails "moves diagonal." But this doesn't make games some sort of sui generis phenomena that cann...
October 03, 2023 at 11:37
Is the observer not in the universe? If they are, then it seems like the observer should have a body. But then isn't mathematics embedded in the body ...
October 01, 2023 at 20:06
Both obviously. You might use many different tools to measure a single tornado, ground sensors, aircraft sensors, and satalites, each measuring differ...
October 01, 2023 at 18:18
Exactly, but this is largely limited to the graduate level from course catalogs I've seen, and generally not targeted at majors outside of philosophy....
October 01, 2023 at 17:44
There is certainly a difference in kind. The subjective element appears to be totally missing from some types of communications. But the new kind seem...
October 01, 2023 at 12:16
I've always thought philosophy programs might be able to resurrect their relevance in three ways: 1. Making their undergraduate courses more about ana...
October 01, 2023 at 11:52
I think the Great Courses are pretty much all on Audible for like $15 or Amazon for like $10 a month. Or free on Wonderium with a trial and then if yo...
September 30, 2023 at 10:48