Michael

Sorry, I deleted that post because it's late and I'm tired and I may have messed up the specific numbers. The general gist is what I said before. Your...

My "favoured" interpretation is the literal interpretation; she is being asked about the probability that a die rolled a six. She isn't being asked ab...

She isn't being asked "what is the long-term average frequency of being woken up when the die did land on a 6?" Her answer to that question is the sam...

You have it backwards. It's not that her credence changes and she bets against it when she can only place a single bet; it's that her credence doesn't...

If each outcome has the same reward then it is rational to bet on the most probable outcome. Therefore, if her credence that the die landed on a 6 is ...

I’m saying that your argument is fallacious. Either it’s a non sequitur because “therefore X exists” does not follow from “I dreamed of X” or it begs ...

You’re begging the question. Your argument is now “if I dream of X and if X exists then X exists”.

You’re arguing that dreaming of X is proof that X exists. If the argument fails when X is Zeus then it fails when X is Michael.

Does dreaming of Zeus prove that Zeus exists?

As a Brit, the only states I know are California (Hollywood), New York (the city), Florida (palm trees), Texas (cowboys), Alaska (cold), and Hawaii (t...

How about the USA cedes territory to Russia?

This makes no sense. "Humans exist because Martians intend to use us as food" is a non sequitur, whereas "humans exist because Martians created Adam a...

Well, yes, that's what I've been saying from the start. Given the definition of the word "purpose", to say that "human life has no purpose" is just to...

So incitement is possible? Glad you came around in the end.

I was really just referring to cause and purpose in the context of human life. Humans haven’t always existed, and nor did we spontaneously and without...

In context the phrase “the purpose of life” doesn’t mean “what I want to do with my life”. It’s implicitly “the purpose of all human life”, and sugges...

“Cause” and “purpose” mean different things. There must be a cause but there might not be a purpose.

You abhor government censorship. The President and the chair of the FCC using their words to threaten their critics into not saying the things they're...

Yes, because that's what he was doing. Whereas Carr and Trump are using transparently tenuous and bullshit justifications to attack their critics. Eve...

Purpose is an intended outcome. Asking for the "purpose" of life is asking for the outcome that the existence of life is intended to achieve. That req...

Your (apparently faux) commitment to free speech absolutism has left you incapable of understanding nuance and that the real world isn't black and whi...

Reminding someone of their legal obligations to moderate their platform is not the same as threatening to revoke a network's license if they don't fir...

Have you been paying attention to the same courts I have? :sweat:

Yes. When the FCC publicly threatens to revoke a network's license unless they penalize an employee, that is a threat even if not said in person to th...

Yes. As is this. If you think that only direct, explicit, face-to-face demands count as pressure or threats then you might have autism. The rest of us...

I didn't mention Kimmel. I was alluding to this:

But this isn’t “cancel culture”. This is government pressure. The general public are well within their rights to “demand” that someone be fired, and t...

There’s a difference between “cancel culture”, i.e boycotts, and government pressure to fire critics.

Okay, but the claim I responded to was: "this is another instance of everything being willed by yours truly." My heartbeat is involuntary, and so ther...

Okay, but it’s not about the real you. It’s about a version of you who’s only ever lived inside a windowless room and so has never seen what happens o...

On what grounds can you justify the likeliness of something changing outside the room if you've never been outside the room?

All I can do is assume. But perhaps it looks and behaves very different when outside the room. It’s impossible for me to know.

https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/hate-speech

Which doesn't make any sense. C1 is false if and only if both "I am a man" is false and "pigs can fly" is false. Yet by stipulation "I am a man" is tr...

If P1 is true then C1 is true. Therefore, the inference is valid. You seem to be suggesting that if both P1 and P2 are true then it's possible that C1...

I explained it above. P1. I am man C1. Therefore, either I am a man or pigs can fly (from P1, using disjunction introduction) P2. I am not a man C2. T...

As an analogy, let’s assume that I’m trapped in a windowless room. Something enters the room. I can see that it exists and what it looks like and how ...

What do you think "valid" means? It just means that the conclusion can be deduced from the premises using the rules of inference. It doesn't mean that...

From what I vaguely understand, the idea is that the wave-function is a universal wave-function, i.e that the universe as a whole is in a superpositio...

The cat is obviously immortal.

I don’t understand what you’re trying to argue. If it’s just that my likelihood of surviving a knife attack is greater if I have a gun than if I’m una...

And as I said before, if someone is out to seriously hurt me then I’d rather neither of us have guns than both of us have guns. I’m unlikely to be sni...

Running away is perhaps the most effective option. I don't understand what you're trying to say here.

I'm much more likely to survive a fist fight than a gun fight.

Comparing street crime to warfare is a false equivalency. But that said, I'm 100% certain that wars would be less deadly without guns (and other long-...

Perhaps if we have a pistols-at-dawn duel, but that's not the reality. It's drive-by shootings, someone pulling a gun on you before you know what's ha...

Also see this:

I deleted it because in my haste I was putting words in your mouth, which may have been unwarranted. Perhaps you weren't referring to government tyran...

If this is a reference to criminals then I'll repeat what I said to NOS4A2 before: I’d much prefer it if they don’t have access to guns, even if that ...

What things?