No it can't, if you're trying to support the idea that Covid kills the "particularly unhealthy". Lot's of "particularly unhealthy" simply don't get th...
The random mechanism is that we don't know who within a risk group is actually going to die this year, so taking people out of the group by another me...
This is not true. For this to be true, the "less healthy members" within a risk group need to somehow be far more likely to get infected to begin with...
No, there's no causal mechanism that will cause significant overlap, unless by significant you mean measurable. I've repeatedly said I have no problem...
I will track the source down. However, it's not really a premise to my argument concluding that collisions will be low; it just seemed the best predic...
Sorry, should have clarified I wasn't attributing this to you; was really talking about lot's of people on the internet. The word comorbidity seems "r...
Yes, the reasoning is based on the empirical data that the virus seems to simply double your chances of death this year, whatever your risk group; tha...
Though I agree with your points about social distancing going to be with us for a while, that "We're going to have to social distance until we get a v...
Yes, my reading of these numbers is the same as yours, there's clearly a large increase in respiratory deaths. Of course, lot's of caveats can tweak t...
The statistical analysis of this general issue I've seen so far, is that getting the virus doubles your chances of death of the year compared to your ...
Mechanisms are pretty simple. Without adequate protection not only to health care workers get sick at the peak, when they are needed most, but they al...
Ventilators is only one of many issues. It's been a focus only because it's a simple metric, and more importantly something that can be acted upon. Th...
You don't need to be a Republican to drink and parrot the Republican coolaid. The fountain of lies quenches the thirst of all who seek it. Ah yes, for...
You do realize we already had this conversation, that I already explained over a month ago: There was zero reason to be surprised about "we are gettin...
You do realize we can read your previous comments? The position you started at was: For instance, your idea now that things are "progressing nicely" a...
Though this is true, the media (due to corrupt incompetence when it comes to science literacy to protect corporate interests) insists on presenting co...
In broad outlines, yes. But I disagree strongly in this particular situation. The Democratic aristocracy are competent custodians of Empire; stabilizi...
We're in agreement here, in principle at least. However, I think we would also agree that violence of this kind is a last resort, and it must be first...
Italy is in a state of marshal law. Of course, they don't call it that. For the US, I don't see how you could be smug about avoiding marshal law. Seem...
We completely agree here. We agree here too. Long term, definitely the EU needs to fix a lot of problems or countries may leave. But at the moment, an...
You completely overestimate this one resignation. To be clear, I share the EU's chief scientist criticism of the EU and support his resignation. I hav...
Well colour me surprised. But for what it's worth, I am genuinely confused as to what your position became after your first comment; so, it's difficul...
What's NOS? But whatever it is, to the whatever point you're trying to make without arguing for it. What's happening here is simply the advanced state...
But to be clear, you're saying we shouldn't discuss any of these topics closely, just be contented with platitudes that encourage us to ignore beliefs...
This is incredibly unlikely. The economics of leaving the EU are terrible, and it's the worse possible time to negotiate other trade deals. UK politic...
I didn't forget your comment, but I'm honestly hard pressed to understand where these arguments are going. Are you proposing an armed insurrection to ...
It seems that your making the point that considering how bad Iran turned out with unmitigated spread, that therefore more densely populated areas shou...
You're forgetting the key elements that the left is to blame for the shutdown (somehow the left is in charge and setting policy in the white house), t...
You're entire analysis is predicated on people dying shortly without a job and there's nothing that can be done about that. You are quite explicit tha...
Don't be so hard on yourself, I think we're all here willing to give you the benefit of the doubt and assume you're extremely apathetic. For instance,...
Yes, I agree its statistically likely he'll survive. Even on a respirator, half of patients survive, and I think UK is democratic enough to be obliged...
Definitely feels that way. Doesn't seem to be a photo from today, which would of course reassure the public if it was just tests. May also explain why...
There is no dichotomy here. No one is claiming the lockdowns won't have lethal knock-on effects that can be statistically quantified. Furthermore, the...
Total number of eventual infected is not a constant. As people get the disease and recovered (and immune), many still vulnerable people just end up be...
This makes zero sense. You even have the premise of why it makes no sense in your previous paragraph. Obviously, discussing whether easing the lockdow...
I think you already answered your own question: The premise that having Trump supporters around to represent what their cult is saying at any given ti...
Then you should clarify that. So, who in the Republican Senate and Congress are you ready to Guillotine? Likewise, anyone in the Democratic party you ...
Ok, we're on the same page then, but I wasn't sure as your OP doesn't explicitly state the "racist-no-your-racist" origin of this general issue relati...
Not sure why exactly you want me to participate to this topic, but since I'm here now I'll share my thoughts. Although there's the basic principle of ...
The logical implication of a large group of people playing Russian roulette, even with a few dozen chambers, is a pile of dead bodies. You cannot both...
Yes, definitely is far gone into myth of American exceptionalism and doesn't understand the situation. I agree with you there. However, in NOS4A2's de...
I backup my assertion with explaining a high-profile argument for the pile of dead bodies. Texas Lt. Gov Dan Patrick, and many on the internet and bey...
There's just 1 missing detail in this, which is that recession won't be less because you end up in the same situation of hospitals (even more) overrun...
Definitely we agree here. When people are structurally placed on the brink; i.e. precarious living as a form of social control, then indeed at any giv...
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