Yes, for problems with no immediate symptoms, it can be any number. Literally everyone who gets the vaccine could get cancer and we'd have no way of k...
Yeah, you'd think so if you have no idea what you're talking about. In the case of problems that happen beyond the time frame of the trial it doesn't ...
It was just to contrast signal strength. A person dying is a strong signal. Many long term side-effects have only "I feel weird" as a signal in the sh...
40 cases in 40 000 that aren't clear what they are is a weak signal. You can only find what you're looking for. Obviously we're looking for people dyi...
It's very different and very new technology. Any new pharmaceutical can have totally unexpected consequences. It's possible we discover entirely new p...
I qualified my statement with "in the places rushing to be first to deploy the vaccine". Finland is not such a country. I contrasted incompetent manag...
To further support what @"Isaac" is saying here, and as I've mentioned before, the vaccine data so far does not exclude simply re-distributing harms r...
"Liberals" seem to believe that the right has lost and therefore learned something and have collectively come back to (the "liberal") reality, and yet...
I see this a bit in Fox (though they still provide a platform for the fraud narrative, just hedge their bets both ways). But Breitbart as of right now...
To add to this, we are already reaching health-care saturation in many places and with "lock-down fatigue", the exponential growth (over the time fram...
I'd like to take a moment to comment on Benford's law as applied to the election. Of the proposed evidence circulating to indicate election fraud this...
I honestly don't think the majority of GOP politicians care about any of that. Trump won against all these people, so is just "making the world in his...
Yes, we're in agreement. One reason there's not yet a SCOTUS push is simply it's not clear yet what ruling in what state is required to hand Trump the...
It's like competing against coca-cola with something "almost like coke" that leaves you with a bitter taste in your mouth and genuinely makes you feel...
I agree that this seems like the case. But we've seen the GOP posture to drop Trump before and then suddenly the ranks close and any remaining dissent...
All I am pointing out is "there's always the possibility for a late surprise". The theory that late counting heavily favours Biden makes sense for the...
The beginning of "oh shit" for Democrats. It will be very close. One interesting detail is that Libertarians in Nevada got 10 000 votes about, and the...
Yes, I agree that there could be a large bias towards Biden, and lot's of simple models can be made showing Biden likely will win. But the problem wit...
As an additional note Wisconsin is within 1%, with is conventionally within "recount range". Of course, a bunch of the states mentioned above where Tr...
Just so people know, Trump is currently leading in (according to CNN numbers): - Georgia: by 0.5% with estimated 95% counted, 16 electoral votes - Nor...
Democracy is brought to you by revolutionary wars, or then the threat of revolutionary war. Democracy can only be maintained by a pure power politics ...
Just listened to Trump's speech, where he claims he's "frankly, already won" and going to the supreme court to stop counting ballet's "found at 4 o'cl...
This was discussed a few months back in the context of "it's ethical to sacrifice people in rich countries by letting the pandemic run rampant, becaus...
These comments are so low quality and from people of such low analytical abilities -- and I would wager worth as human beings as well -- that they do ...
Maybe, but there is currently no evidence that they will. In my version of science I believe things when there is evidence to believe it. The experime...
There isn't really a basis for this belief. No vaccine trial, vis-a-vis covid, is designed to prove actual effectiveness at changing the course of the...
In this context I mean ecological sustainability. The usual answer is that the industrial revolution depended on the enclosure movement of kicking pea...
Your argument is that we can judge what Marx wrote based on what Stalin did. That's what you literally say: Or at least, your only evidence so far tha...
Did you even read what I wrote? So, to be clear, you attach the genocides and slavery of "Christendom" to the teachings of Christ? If not, it seems th...
Although this seems to be the case, I would argue that Marx is fundamentally right that class divisions cannot be maintained indefinitely, that simply...
This is simply propaganda. Hitler emerged out of a liberal capitalist system, supported by capitalists, but it seems pretty clear you would not hold t...
It seems obviously debatable to me, unless Nietzsche is a standard of truth. Furthermore, it's also debatable that Nietzsche's "God is dead, and we ki...
The specific language would be describing Peterson as a nihilist. Peterson doesn't describe himself as a nihilist and, indeed, perceives himself as fi...
To provide some broader context of Marx's central ideas on what private property means within capitalism as a real economic system: Of critical note, ...
Although I am quite sympathetic to this project, and the points brought up are interesting, I think discussing Peterson in philosophical terms is only...
True. Also true, but whereas the benefits are essentially endowed (what I described as favour from everyone who builds and maintains the institutions ...
Unless you mean "origin" in some convoluted sense that ultimately rejects egoism, then ethics being self-interest leads to the obvious conclusions I h...
I don't see what you mean by "not objective in the relevant sense". The sense in the case I was describing was the contemporary use of "objectivity" a...
This is the basic error I was describing (if by "we" you include egoism / self interest): the egoist may appreciate what "Western civilization" provid...
Nearly everyone has access as you say, but not everyone has the leisure, and perhaps innate capacities, to both develop and defend against deluges of ...
It can be true of a particular subject, doesn't exclude that it is true for other subjects or even all subjects. If we're saying it's true for all sub...
For those interested in the positive proof side of this small o "objectivist" debate. The small o "objectivist", or even just the word "objective" its...
Clearly, 'moral facts' are simply not like 'physical' facts, but differ in very critical ways, and the example of Kant that immediately follows this i...
I definitely agree that, on first sight, "objective" seems to be harmless enough as meaning "it's true of reality". However, if we're formulating mora...
The third link you post is a book by Michael Huemer, who I've already cited, and who has long critiques of Rand. The first link you post is indeed mor...
This fallacy has already been addressed by Plato, and others, but probably the go to is by Kant. To paraphrase, the idea the self sacrificing soldier ...
That's because Randians put some effort to reformulate Randianism without explicitly defending Rand (as she said the quiet pars out loud, and that bec...
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