Jeremiah

Give me a specific mistake that Trump HAS made.

What specifically are these mistakes you are talking which Trump has made as President.

Either way, you have made it your job to troll for Trump. You won't criticize President Trump at all, you have admitted to that.

I am thinking that you are not allowed to criticize Trump. The idea that he is perfect and has not made any mistakes at all, is just too far out there...

Plus it is what you are being paid to do.

It is completely nuts that you can't bring yourself to criticize one fault. If you are not able to see his errors, then clearly you are not able to vi...

If God exist you should going on living as if God does not exist as you are still clueless to the nature of God.

I was never the one advocating for the use of a prior. I am not sure where you got that notion.

So you are completely incapable of seeing any faults in the President.

I have also already shown that trying to calculate expected returns is a misguided effort.

My simulations were there to display the inherit ambiguity in defining a prior distribution. X is an unknown, treat it like an unknown. I have never o...

Can't even think of one?

You make it that way, Raza. That is dodge. Give a specific error he has made.

I ran across this line while reading one of my books and thought it pertained well to this thread: Mathematical Statistics with Applications, Wackerly...

Somehow I will live with the loss. It will be hard, but I will push on.

All you do is assume, Raza. This entire thread is just you spitting out baseless assumptions and wild fantasies. Always in favor if Trump, but surely ...

Yes, the poor oppressed conservatives . . . . :roll:

And what if angels decent from the sky and crown Trump ruler for all time? I don't care about your fantasies, Raza.

In nearly every public opinion poll Trump's support stems almost exclusively from the Republicans, and the number of Americans voters who identity as ...

Of coures it is the public's perceptions. Did you already forget that you were talking about how the public views this. I am addresing your misconcept...

Did you just suggest that women are more gullible than men?

Trump may very well get away with his crimes, but the idea this will have no political backlash is a fantasy. Trump's public support stems almost enti...

Let me know when it happens. In the meantime, feel free to continue and throw your votes in the trash.

Even if a "3rd party" became popular it would be at the cost of one of the current parties and we'd still be in a two party system. People would simpl...

Sure, people can definitely choose to throw their votes in the trash.

And your example is a false equivalence.

Leap frog.

Political belief.

Socialism.

I met a political sciencist who suggested no one is an Independent; instead they are just poorly informed people. He said when informed everyone leans...

You modeled a different scenario than the OP, then argued that it was impossible for you to be wrong, as you claimed there is no such thing as being c...

It would be a completely subjective and made up number.

The truth is, the OP never mentioned you'll get to open 100 envelopes. In fact in the OP there are only two envelopes and you only get to pick one of ...

A Bayesian inference is subject to the same fault, it will need several occurrences to correct the errors of baseless assumptions, before becoming acc...

It should be noted the a so called "switching strategy" can only work if it has the time to learn the distribution. It only works because in the long ...

That was me quoting myself from earlier in the thread. I posted that before you even joined the conversation.

How's the weather in Russia these days?

With all the evidence we now have about how wide spread the practice of homosexuality is in the animal kingdom, only the ignorant could possibly concl...

That is a horrible understanding of both homosexuality and evolution; however, what is even more outlandish is the notion that "the church" has a sign...

The more unnecessary assumptions you add to your model the more it will inflate your uncertainty; however, this uncertainty will not show up in your c...

Some probabilistic models are more reliable and accurate than others.

@"JeffJo" this is why I am stonewalling you, as you keep trying to argue points with me that I agree with and have already commented on. It is a clear...

You did not read the thread.

I stopped there.

What you think I have issue with is not what I have issue with. I literally mean you are misinterpreting me. Furthermore what you are harping on is so...

I am still in recovery from number six, but if I don't do seven then six might just go in circles. However, even though I feel six moved a bit out of ...

You are misinterpreting what I said, what your link says and your source is Wikipedia.

People who might be reading this thread, who have no exposure to random sampling or Bayesian inference, should not walk away with the idea that using ...

I already made several comments on the justification behind random samples. Read much?

You don't "guess" a prior. Even if you use an uninformative prior you have to justify that approach.