Jeremiah

It looks like your "moderately educated opinion" is not worth very much. Science, as already stated, is a methodology for the exploration and categori...

Formal logic is not that important. If you want to understand the world around you then yuou need some level of math; how much is hard to say. Persona...

While mathematics will help develop quantitative reasoning, problem solving and critical/analytical skills, it is not the only path to sharpening your...

I think you are being over dramatic.

I also recognize two types of thinking. I call them making crap up and learning. Some people just make crap up, because they are to lazy to go out and...

You are the one making claims about what they said without any citation at all, accept some responsibility.

I rather read them for myself, than have you tell me about them. I am well aware that there are some studies out there, and have seen a few for myself...

A statistical analysis could only show if there is a difference it could not prove the cause of that difference. As there is simply no way you can ran...

Logic is not a magic wand you can wave and suddenly truth appears, it is a tool to help you in your considerations. Further more the OP is not employi...

*rolls eyes*

God forbid someone in a philosophy forum actually suggest a need for evidence.

The entire OP hinges on one claim, even as a rhetorical argument it fails horribly. The thesis is: "dependence on religion will return and atheism wil...

Calling your argument "fundamental" does not change the fact that your standard for evidence is pathetically low.

Your standard for evidence is pathetically low.

I am fairly certain I already did. My view is that your view needs more support.

Then you don't really have anything at all. Your whole argument hinges on that one conclusion, and if you can't establish in some meaningful way then ...

Other than your pseudo-philosophical drivel do you have any evidence of this? And I don't mean your opinion on the matter, I mean a peer review scient...

In regards to probability, that is not at all how you from a proper hypothesis, or create a distribution (this is what you are essentially trying to d...

Something people need to understand about equal probability: It generally does not just happen on its own, it needs people to make it happen with some...

No, that is not any better, if you say one of these in my pocket and the other two are not. Either a platypus or a piece of lint or nothing. Then you ...

Also there is a problem with this. A statistic is any quantity that can be calculated from the observed data. You don't have any observed data. Data a...

You are not paying attention. Probability requires a chance mechanism. You flip a coin; that coin has a chance to land on heads or tails, but once it ...

By suggesting God has a chance to exist you are actually claiming that God currently does not exist but that a future event will give God a chance to ...

That is not probability. Probability is the proportion of possible out comes under the repeat exercise of a random event. You didn't exercise a random...

Probability ranges 0 to 1 because you can never have something with a higher probability of 100% or a probability lower then 0% Statistically probabil...

It is categorical (or sometimes called qualitative) because things such a like and dislike are categories. There are no objective standards to measuri...

No, it is not. That is qualitative.

Spoken language and written language. Even math depends on these two.

A probability model is only useful if it can be fitted to the real world. The probability of a species when a new life is actually born is not determi...

No, it is not.

If I flip the coin 10 more times each time I flip it, the coin can land on heads or tails, but after it has landed it does not matter how many times I...

I think this is an ulterior motive behind this thread.

Yes, they do. Liquids behave differently than solid marbles. https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saturation_(chemistry) References? If it is such an imp...

I kind of think this discussion is at its end, Ergo's "hypothesis" has been shown to have many flaws.

Math will allow us to calculate the probability of it happening. Does this prove it will happen? Not necessarily, but it does suggest it is a possibil...

To be honest, I can't believe I over looked that detail, guess I was not paying close enough attention. We don't actually know if the marbles will be ...

He is also making an assumption about even distribution. I am not sure if that is what you are referring to with "well-mixed".

I'll agree with the point: that there may be something unconsidered which will prevent a jar of all colors (which would mean we don't have randomizati...

This right here vs. this: "That means that by the time that the marbles fall out of the funnel located at the bottom of the vat statistically they HAV...

I have to also point out, we are all just assuming there will be roughly an even distribution of the marbles in the jar, but this is not something tha...

Technically it is a bell curve, so it really does not have an end. My point being due to the low probability you will likely fail to reject the null a...

http://www.statisticshowto.com/empirical-rule-2/ Something that happens outside the third standard deviation.

"Jones threw a punch." You don't actually have to say threw a, as you could just say, "Joe punches" or "Joe punched". Or you even just say "Joe punche...

And where did you establish that only slight variations can occur over an infinite number of jars? If we say something can happen outside normal distr...

No it is not, as we are now talking about chemistry. Marbles are not small enough to fall in that category and behave very differently. I know statist...

I think I identified his mistake. Hypothesis testing will likely support an even distribution. Which to the untrained eye can look like math is provin...

The jar is basically a random sample of of the vat. So what Ergo is suggesting is that the proportion in the jar will be always be even. In statistic ...

Unless the operators of the factory are environmentalist.

Look this is simple; take a jar fill it with various colored marbles then shake it around and see if any of the colors are not evenly distributed. The...

This right here is what we would call a normal distribution, but it is possible to see an event outside the normal distribution.