Pretty damn scary. Combined with reports of how well Trump's stance on immigration seems to go with swing-state voters, it seems like the most ugly ki...
I think the short answer, in the context of this argument, is that there'd be no you. Without free will, there can be no attribution (of thoughts, exp...
Since it's only "some men", it might be worth looking into the sexual preferences of these men and check whether they are actually still attracted by ...
Your concept of "explanation" seems under-defined to me. You reference science, but that's a method that generates a specific kind of explanation. It'...
It's perhaps worth pointing out that "atheist/agnostic" in this context are merely more or less arbitrary groups of related beliefs. They are useful t...
It's only strictly speaking a contradiction if possibility of existence is equivalent to actual existence. Arguments are not evidence though. Just the...
Yes, specifically we'd need a clear definition of a metaphysical entity "God". Disproving the existence of things doesn't usually involve ruling out t...
The question of whether or not free will would be a physical phenomenon, and therefore subject to an empirical approach, goes to the core of the debat...
I don't think It's as simple as stating that "noone can disprove it". For one, argument would be required as to why "disproving" it is the standard to...
People have tried to come up with "perfect" languages without misunderstandings, but as far as I am aware they have not been succesfull. Perhaps it ca...
The problem with such figures is that they don't account for other differences in the areas that they are looking at, such as population density. The ...
The one half is saying that there is an existence that is independent of human cognition at all, and that that existence doesn't disappear when humans...
That is indeed where I was going, but I simply wanted to show that simply saying "well obviously the rock still exists, everything else would be stupi...
The argument for that position is implicit in my question. You could try answering it. You do not seem to be arguing in good faith (belittling your di...
If you find yourself unable to answer the question, you can just walk away (figuratively). Not sure what you hope to accomplish here other than poison...
You're not answering the question. And your counter-question doesn't concern me, since I haven't claimed that just the existence of "something" depend...
I think the interesting question is which of the attributes that make up the category of "rock" can still be identified after said catastrophe. Scient...
"Exaggerating" and "getting facts mixed up" are euphemisms for lying. There are plenty of very obvious lies to choose from. A simple google search wil...
We could call it something like intersubjectivity, but at the end of the day there doesn't seem to be much point. Calling it "objective" conveys the m...
But if your justice system is utilitarian, you aren't really punishing people for their actions. The action is merely the trigger, the punishment then...
From what I remember from criminology, the main preventive effect of punishment seems to be in assuring the other members of society that a) the rules...
It's not really the same kind of legal accountability though. The consequences would be vastly different. Being a "danger to society" would warrant th...
I'd be fine with calling fake news a form of propaganda - if indeed it is used for propaganda purposes. But fake news is a specific form of propaganda...
I think that this is selective perception. People have always thought to differentiate their group from others by negative delineation. What's differe...
There are different orders of infinity, but in your example both are of the same order. Different orders of infinity are e.g. the Natural Numbers and ...
I had the impression you thought that criticism applied only to AJJ's version of the argument. But yes, I think that is at least the right track. Sinc...
The question you should ask is this: how do you know whether all the sensations of an apple (color, shape, smell, taste etc.) are caused by an apple i...
I also pointed out that I think there is a problem with the doomsday argument on page one. I then spent the remaining pages trying to come up with a c...
Seems well put. There seems to be some problem with the doomsday argument, but it's not a simple mathematical problem but one that has to do with more...
Sure, the mathematical operation itself isn't circular. If it were that obvious people would have realized long ago. It's actually quite difficult to ...
I don't think it's that easy. The actual claim that the doomsday argument makes is the following: That is to say humanity will likely end before more ...
If that's not literally what happens, how can we use the thought experiment as evidence that a particular scenario is more or less likely? We can't "p...
My argument is that, for the purposes of statistical analysis, we cannot treat an unbounded future distribution like a bounded past one. For example, ...
I think I know where we are talking past each other. You are looking at this from the perspective of the experimenter, who decides in advance what bal...
In that case your conclusions on the first page: Don't follow from your argument. Uh, what do you mean "who to give the ball"? It was never mentioned ...
That's not quite how the argument goes. If we exited history and then randomly re-entered it, we might indeed be justified in reasoning we'd enter som...
Which begs the question how we are supposed to calculate such a probability in the first place if we lack information on it. Ok, so this is how I thin...
But it seems to me that it should make a difference that it's possible that not all balls are in the game. The chance that there is one red ball is 10...
That's true, but in your example, you know you're already after T5. That is to say all balls are in the game. With the doomsday argument, this is not ...
That is if we are in fact living in the final years. If we're not, then betting on the last rooms gives you no better chance of winning. Your position...
So, the argument here is the last five presumably have the most people, and presumably we're in the largest group. But we're assuming population growt...
So are you claiming that information concerning the timing of the end of humanity is encoded in a) the fact that humans exist right now and b) the ass...
Mathematical reasoning, being a deductive process, cannot generate information though. If those are the groups you are given by some outside source. B...
Or perhaps this isn't about you and I'm just interested in the topic. But as you state, this isn't information, but an assumption. But even if we gran...
So, which is it? Do we have further information that allows us to make a determination or are we creating information ex nihilo using math? Just sayin...
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