Devans99

My method certainly does not entail this - and you clearly do not understand my method - just because you don't understand it, does not mean that its ...

BTW, if you really believe that science has completely accurately determined the Big Bang right back to just after the Plank era (just after the singu...

You are getting confused: - 'prints on the knife' make it 50% likely he is guilty - If we assume we have already established that the is a 50% chance ...

I'm with Einstein on this issue - God does not play dice. The apparent randomness of QM is just due to our lack of understanding. Yes, by representing...

Your math is wrong. Assume the initial distribution is 50% guilty/ 50% innocent, and the first piece of evidence is 50% likely that he is guilty: 1) 5...

I don't follow you - I see nothing contradictory at all about the method I am using. If you disagree with my method, maybe you can explain how I shoul...

But what happens if 90% of people accused of murder actually turn out to be innocent? Then your logic says the first piece of evidence is that he's 50...

The first 'piece of evidence' to consider is that 'is he guilty?' is an unknown boolean question. So we should start with the assumption of 50% guilty...

You have that wrong - if we start at a 50% chance that he's guilty - and assess the first piece of evidence means he's 75% likely to be guilty - then ...

These are all micro effects - according to everything we know, all macro effects have causes. The origin of the universe is a macro question - huge am...

You could use discrete or fuzzy true values: - The question 'Is the cat is light, medium or dark black?' maps to a trinary kind of truth value. - 'Wha...

What are you talking about! With that stupid game, say there are 10 characters, then the probability of each being the killer is 1 / 10 = 10%. That ha...

I like to think that we are aware of only one form of reality - that of spacetime. So possibly or maybe or likely there are many other forms of realit...

You can map some questions to statements which have binary (maybe trinary , etc...) truth values: Is the cat black? Maps to: The cat is black (with a ...

I don't call those answers. 1. Everything in time has a reason 2. Nothing can be the reason for itself 3. (From 1 and 2) At least one reason must be o...

Say each of us has a 10% probability of getting a given question wrong. If there are two of us, then we double check: 10% X 10% = 1%. And so on. With ...

You still have not answered the puzzle question! Whats wrong with determinism? We know of no other way to get things done except causality. Randomness...

I have an attachment to the LEM! I am not convinced we can build logical states of existence without it. The problem with this argument is the 2nd law...

I am using a methodology of my own inventing with that calculation. Take a look - its perfectly reasonable. The approach is to first assume 50%/50% fo...

It's merely a mechanical process. I can't remember all the details, modus ponens and so on. Axioms most usually represent our inductive level of belie...

I have a degree in maths. I swallowed infinity hook, line and sinker just like everyone else. Its only after years of thinking about it that I realise...

Sometimes there are logical errors in the actual deduction, but mostly it is bad axioms that undermine arguments. Some people believe in some f**king ...

- I use deduction and induction (abduction not so much) - I argue for things I think are greater than 50% likely to be true. - I argue against things ...

Issac, I am a very simple sort of fellow: - If people show I'm wrong, I admit it and change my position - If no-one shows I'm wrong, I continue to pre...

That's your, biased, version of events. My recollection is that no-one had any valid counter arguments.

You still have not replied to my puzzle question - again: 1. Everything in time has a reason 2. Nothing can be the reason for itself 3. (From 1 and 2)...

Fair enough, but the first cause is indirectly responsible for the creation of spacetime. - If the second cause is intelligent, then it was evolved wh...

I imagine timelessness as a state outside time - completely atemporal. A timeless thing is never created and never destroyed - it has permanent atempo...

The way out I think is to have a first cause that is timeless and finite.

No-one rebutted that maths! Its fine! Tell me where the error is please. I'm listening but none of your counter arguments are persuasive.

It all comes down to the axiom of infinity in ZFC, it says a set with a greater than finite number of object in it actually exists. That's just bullsh...

I started at 50%/50% before taking any of the evidence into account. Then I allowed for the evidence for/against the proposition that the universe is ...

Causality (or anything similar) can only form a pyramid shape with the first cause at the top and everything else caused by it building out the pyrami...

1. Start at 50%/50% for the unknown boolean question ‘is the universe a creation?’ 2. Time has a start. 50% probability of a creator due to this gives...

I think eternity is impossible; it's a form of infinity. So even without the BB, the universe would require a start in time.

Re 4, Making the ‘can’t get something from nothing’ assumption leads to the conclusion that something permanent must exist - if the universe was ever ...

You have no idea what atemporal could be. Just because all the change we know of is within time, does not imply that change is impossible without time...

1. Everything in time has a reason 2. Nothing can be the reason for itself 3. (From 1 and 2) At least one reason must be outside of time 4. The thing ...

My argument is that the first cause is not a random act, therefore it is a deliberate act - it has to be caused by something self-driven, self-motivat...

The first cause obviously has no cause, but it must cause the first effect. I do not believe in random - my argument is that random would be something...

I gave my definition of God here: https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/426361 The first cause is synonymous with God. Quantum fluctuation...

How do you know these obvious and abundant signs of fine tuning are not teleological in nature? Eternal Inflation theory does not rule out the need fo...

This is an alternative way of looking at the same problem: 1. Everything in time has a reason 2. Nothing can be the reason for itself 3. (From 1 and 2...

There appears to be no alternative - causality forms a pyramid-like structure in time, with the first cause at the tip of the pyramid and then causes ...

- There a many of signs of fine-tuning of the universe for life (see arguments given previously) - The chances of the universe supporting life by pure...

Supertasks are obviously logically impossible - we are talking about performing a greater than finite number of steps in a finite time: - Finite numbe...

I think that any mechanism of a purely dumb nature cannot be the first cause - it would have to initiate an action by its own accord - and no dumb mec...

I currently have doubts about both presentism and eternalism. The first is not compatible with the start of time or special relativity. The second has...

Why? Knowledge is interesting! Nothing is certain in this world, so we must resort to probability as our only hope for true knowledge. I find it stran...

Strange as I thought you'd be accustomed to having rings run around you? (ps I don't mean it! Just a joke. Interesting conversation) The first cause h...