How would you explain belief where there is no action? If I take a trek into the Amazon rain forest, where I perform no actions relating to cars (don'...
There you have done an excellent job, and now have acceleration from an inertial frame of reference. Great. You wanted the acceleration, now you have ...
No, because you have to measure the acceleration from an inertial frame of reference, which is neither the earth nor the rock in our example if we are...
First of all, for Newton's equations as you and I have written, they only apply when used from an inertial frame of reference. The derived acceleratio...
I'm not sure where your formula comes from, but let me see if I can understand and answer your question. Take a rock of mass m, on earth of mass M, a ...
Also, take this further evolution of Problem B that I outlined earlier. The SB experiment is done every week for a year. Each week she is woken once i...
She is given one waking or two, determined by a coin toss, and this is repeated 52 times. When she wakes up she has no idea which of the wake up event...
That is the difference in interpretation I am talking about. For you the question is asking about how a fair coin toss will land. For me it is about t...
You are not twice as likely to see it. A given seeing of it is twice as likely to be tails. Those two are very different things. You are interested in...
Ok, let me try a different method. Will your stance change if the question asked to sleeping beauty is "What is the probability that you see the coin ...
I simply can't agree with this. Using frequencies over multiple games to argue for the probabilities in a single game is a fundamental way probabiliti...
It would be rational also in the sense that you are more likely to win on a particular guess (which would not be the case in a normal large prize 2,00...
Fair enough, but then a person betting that it did land on heads 100 times in a row will have a greater expected value for their winning (as long as t...
For you the Monday heads interview is an A event. The Monday tails interview is a B event, the Tuesday tails interview is a B event as well (it is the...
Yes, an individual tails interview event is twice as probable. A tails interview where Monday and Tuesday interviews are grouped together and not seen...
This is one part of halfers thinking I don;t understand. There is something in statistics called law of large numbers that allows just this inference....
Sorry for the repeated posts here is another thought experiment to see the difference between the two camps. Both camps are given a camera and told to...
Let's look once again at two wordings of the SB problem, I have bolded what I see as the key part of them. Both are questions to SB: From Scientific A...
You are missing out that she will also wake up on the Tuesday if the coin landed on heads - you are only looking at Monday. When you add in the probab...
This right here is the key disagreement. Taking the wording from the Scientific American article, it says "What is the probability that the coin shows...
In your example using the thirder position, If she has amnesia she should guess heads and will will 2/3 of the time. If she doesn't have amnesia she s...
I took some time to read through the many good arguments on this thread, I agree with the above 2 different things you mentioned above. The crux of th...
Can this not be experimentally validated using a simulation? Write a computer program simulating SB and the experiment. Run the simulation 1 million t...
That is how the conditional probability works in this instance. If I am SB and I wake up, I know it could be (Heads and Monday), (Tails and Monday), (...
The conditional probability is dependent on the frequency in this case. Because SB wakes up more on tails, a given wake up event is more likely to be ...
I am saying you are wrong. And in my example, where you wake up once for heads and never for tails shows that the probability of you seeing heads when...
And yet the probability of a heads being flipped is 0.5. So you see that the probability of you seeing a heads is conditional on the head being flippe...
In that case it is more likely that given an instance I wake up I will see the coin has been flipped heads 100 times in a row. Could you address my co...
It is more likely that you wake up and not have got heads 100 times in a row. The probability that heads lands 100 times in a row is in 8^-31, while t...
Isn't the confusion here in the ambiguity of the question put forward to sleeping beauty? Are not the two camps interpreting the question put to SB di...
I think the problem with a tough non-compassionate approach to these problems is that there are others with worse world views than us ready to extend ...
I agree with you on your analysis of what you call the motte and bailey fallacy. I would like to extend your analogy of the motte and bailey to descri...
But this is not correct. Cultural moral norms exist because they were selected for by their ability to solve cooperation problems in the in group. The...
But this is not what is observed in past societies Let's take a step back and look at your original question in the other thread: "What if cultural mo...
True, if the conditions for a snowflake to grow infinitely large were present, it could grow infinitely large. This is if there was infinite water, in...
Fitness is something specific: "Survival of the form (phenotypic or genotypic) that will leave the most copies of itself in successive generations." N...
I did read your first post, it runs into the same problems. You are flitting between 2 similar but different theories, as per the description in my pr...
I still don't get it. Not the paradox of a set of all sets not members of themselves - that I know. I don;t understand how that applies to 3D configur...
I'm afraid I don't understand where the paradox is in 4D hypercubes. Let's simplify for a moment to better visualize the problem. A 2D square has 1D b...
The role of the observer in the quantum mechanical sense is complicated. What you are doing is simplifying the question by making some assumptions abo...
Take some practical examples of fractals - snow flakes, or the center of some flowers. They are not infinite. Now as to your previous question of why ...
Yes I am undecided on this. What it is telling me is that it is a fiendishly complicated issue at hand and I am not sure I have the correct tools to i...
You are quite right that the existence of objects for the observer is not in question. But the original post I replied to a few days ago was going bey...
Absolutely, I made assumptions. But it no more begs the question than an idealist position or any other position on this issue, including the one you ...
My reply was very much to do with the context being discussed here. In the context of the role of observers in the MWI, and the role of observers in q...
One counter to this is that there is differentiation even without consciousness. True that there would be no conscious beings to conceptualize the uni...
I don't think there is a universal law that require the universe to be composed of fractals. Rather I would put forward some parts of the universe are...
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