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PhilosophyRunner

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In: Belief  — view comment
How would you explain belief where there is no action? If I take a trek into the Amazon rain forest, where I perform no actions relating to cars (don'...
August 04, 2023 at 12:08
There you have done an excellent job, and now have acceleration from an inertial frame of reference. Great. You wanted the acceleration, now you have ...
August 01, 2023 at 22:04
No, because you have to measure the acceleration from an inertial frame of reference, which is neither the earth nor the rock in our example if we are...
July 31, 2023 at 18:54
First of all, for Newton's equations as you and I have written, they only apply when used from an inertial frame of reference. The derived acceleratio...
July 31, 2023 at 15:01
I'm not sure where your formula comes from, but let me see if I can understand and answer your question. Take a rock of mass m, on earth of mass M, a ...
July 31, 2023 at 01:54
Also, take this further evolution of Problem B that I outlined earlier. The SB experiment is done every week for a year. Each week she is woken once i...
June 12, 2023 at 19:34
She is given one waking or two, determined by a coin toss, and this is repeated 52 times. When she wakes up she has no idea which of the wake up event...
June 12, 2023 at 18:50
That is the difference in interpretation I am talking about. For you the question is asking about how a fair coin toss will land. For me it is about t...
June 12, 2023 at 18:45
You are not twice as likely to see it. A given seeing of it is twice as likely to be tails. Those two are very different things. You are interested in...
June 07, 2023 at 22:18
Ok, let me try a different method. Will your stance change if the question asked to sleeping beauty is "What is the probability that you see the coin ...
June 07, 2023 at 22:11
Exactly, the disagreement stems from the perceptive from with the probability is being calculated.
June 07, 2023 at 22:06
I simply can't agree with this. Using frequencies over multiple games to argue for the probabilities in a single game is a fundamental way probabiliti...
June 07, 2023 at 21:50
It would be rational also in the sense that you are more likely to win on a particular guess (which would not be the case in a normal large prize 2,00...
June 07, 2023 at 16:26
Fair enough, but then a person betting that it did land on heads 100 times in a row will have a greater expected value for their winning (as long as t...
June 07, 2023 at 16:16
For you the Monday heads interview is an A event. The Monday tails interview is a B event, the Tuesday tails interview is a B event as well (it is the...
June 07, 2023 at 16:04
Yes, an individual tails interview event is twice as probable. A tails interview where Monday and Tuesday interviews are grouped together and not seen...
June 07, 2023 at 15:51
This is one part of halfers thinking I don;t understand. There is something in statistics called law of large numbers that allows just this inference....
June 07, 2023 at 15:45
Sorry for the repeated posts here is another thought experiment to see the difference between the two camps. Both camps are given a camera and told to...
June 05, 2023 at 17:08
Let's look once again at two wordings of the SB problem, I have bolded what I see as the key part of them. Both are questions to SB: From Scientific A...
June 05, 2023 at 16:41
You are missing out that she will also wake up on the Tuesday if the coin landed on heads - you are only looking at Monday. When you add in the probab...
June 05, 2023 at 14:59
This right here is the key disagreement. Taking the wording from the Scientific American article, it says "What is the probability that the coin shows...
June 05, 2023 at 14:43
In your example using the thirder position, If she has amnesia she should guess heads and will will 2/3 of the time. If she doesn't have amnesia she s...
June 05, 2023 at 02:54
I took some time to read through the many good arguments on this thread, I agree with the above 2 different things you mentioned above. The crux of th...
June 05, 2023 at 02:47
Can this not be experimentally validated using a simulation? Write a computer program simulating SB and the experiment. Run the simulation 1 million t...
May 26, 2023 at 12:18
That is how the conditional probability works in this instance. If I am SB and I wake up, I know it could be (Heads and Monday), (Tails and Monday), (...
May 25, 2023 at 16:35
The conditional probability is dependent on the frequency in this case. Because SB wakes up more on tails, a given wake up event is more likely to be ...
May 25, 2023 at 16:29
I am saying you are wrong. And in my example, where you wake up once for heads and never for tails shows that the probability of you seeing heads when...
May 25, 2023 at 16:24
I was talking about frequency not probability.
May 25, 2023 at 16:22
And yet the probability of a heads being flipped is 0.5. So you see that the probability of you seeing a heads is conditional on the head being flippe...
May 25, 2023 at 15:55
In that case it is more likely that given an instance I wake up I will see the coin has been flipped heads 100 times in a row. Could you address my co...
May 25, 2023 at 12:32
It is more likely that you wake up and not have got heads 100 times in a row. The probability that heads lands 100 times in a row is in 8^-31, while t...
May 25, 2023 at 12:12
it isn't a non sequitur. The probability that see sees tails at the point she wakes up is partly dependent on how often she wakes up for each outcome.
May 25, 2023 at 11:39
Isn't the confusion here in the ambiguity of the question put forward to sleeping beauty? Are not the two camps interpreting the question put to SB di...
May 25, 2023 at 11:15
I think the problem with a tough non-compassionate approach to these problems is that there are others with worse world views than us ready to extend ...
May 25, 2023 at 11:08
I agree with you on your analysis of what you call the motte and bailey fallacy. I would like to extend your analogy of the motte and bailey to descri...
May 25, 2023 at 10:08
But this is not correct. Cultural moral norms exist because they were selected for by their ability to solve cooperation problems in the in group. The...
February 20, 2023 at 19:10
But this is not what is observed in past societies Let's take a step back and look at your original question in the other thread: "What if cultural mo...
February 20, 2023 at 12:23
True, if the conditions for a snowflake to grow infinitely large were present, it could grow infinitely large. This is if there was infinite water, in...
February 19, 2023 at 12:32
Fitness is something specific: "Survival of the form (phenotypic or genotypic) that will leave the most copies of itself in successive generations." N...
February 19, 2023 at 12:24
I did read your first post, it runs into the same problems. You are flitting between 2 similar but different theories, as per the description in my pr...
February 19, 2023 at 12:22
I still don't get it. Not the paradox of a set of all sets not members of themselves - that I know. I don;t understand how that applies to 3D configur...
February 19, 2023 at 12:15
I'm afraid I don't understand where the paradox is in 4D hypercubes. Let's simplify for a moment to better visualize the problem. A 2D square has 1D b...
February 17, 2023 at 02:29
The role of the observer in the quantum mechanical sense is complicated. What you are doing is simplifying the question by making some assumptions abo...
February 16, 2023 at 21:16
Take some practical examples of fractals - snow flakes, or the center of some flowers. They are not infinite. Now as to your previous question of why ...
February 16, 2023 at 19:36
Yes I am undecided on this. What it is telling me is that it is a fiendishly complicated issue at hand and I am not sure I have the correct tools to i...
February 16, 2023 at 19:13
You are quite right that the existence of objects for the observer is not in question. But the original post I replied to a few days ago was going bey...
February 16, 2023 at 19:07
Absolutely, I made assumptions. But it no more begs the question than an idealist position or any other position on this issue, including the one you ...
February 16, 2023 at 01:15
My reply was very much to do with the context being discussed here. In the context of the role of observers in the MWI, and the role of observers in q...
February 15, 2023 at 17:22
One counter to this is that there is differentiation even without consciousness. True that there would be no conscious beings to conceptualize the uni...
February 15, 2023 at 01:59
I don't think there is a universal law that require the universe to be composed of fractals. Rather I would put forward some parts of the universe are...
February 15, 2023 at 01:54