Michael

Your wording is ambiguous. When you say “men who identify as women” do you just mean men who say they’re women, or do you mean transgender women?

I don’t think so. I can’t think of any such characteristics in my case. I just am a man.

The skeptic claims that we might be brains in a vat. There are two different ways to interpret this claim: 1. There is a possible world where "we are ...

I question that assertion. I'm skeptical of essentialism.

Maybe I need to be even simpler. World 1 Jane's belief might be false Jane's belief is true World 2 Jane's belief might be false Jane's belief is fals...

You accepted here that "Jane's belief might be false" and "Jane's belief is true" can both be true, so I don't understand your objection. Do the below...

Then using that understanding, we have three options: Option 1 It is possible that Jane's belief is actually false Therefore, if Jane's belief is true...

I don't understand your modality. You are right that Jane's belief, which is true in the actual world, isn't false in the actual world, but what do yo...

Then I don't understand the issue you have. If Jane's belief might be wrong and if Jane's belief is true then Jane's belief is true and might be wrong...

It's the meaning of the phrase that matters here, not what its assertion implies about the speaker. Do you at least understand the difference between ...

Yet something like this seems to be what we are saying when we say "I believe this but I might be wrong". We are claiming that the actual world might ...

I am trying to make sense of this: Argument 1 Jane's belief might be wrong Therefore, if Jane's belief is true then Jane's belief might be wrong The a...

That first argument was a reference to your claim here. When I asked you if that meant that "I might be wrong" entails "I am wrong" you responded with...

It is. It’s like saying “I’m a bachelor, therefore I’m not married”. So which of arguments 1 and 2 is valid?

Then there's an issue with the claim "I believe p but I might be wrong". It shouldn't be interpreted simply as "I believe p and I'm not wrong but ther...

I agree, although I don't see how that is relevant to what I am arguing. In a stripped down form: Argument 1 Jane's belief might actually be wrong The...

And yet the conclusion has been met with such resistance. Why is that? Perhaps others are equivocating and reading something into the "might be wrong"...

a) I am a man b) I am British c) Therefore, if I am 30 years old then I am a man and I am British and I am 30 years old It makes perfect sense. It's v...

Argument 2 a. Jane believes with justification that John is a bachelor b. Jane's belief might be wrong c. Therefore, if John is a bachelor then Jane's...

I'm not presenting any of those premises as something like personal belief-assertions. They are intended as statements of fact, as is usually the case...

Also on this, the entire point of Moore's paradox is that there is something that we would never say as prima facie it would be absurd even though it ...

I suspect because of what I said here: But even though we don't say it, I think that this argument shows that such a claim would be true: 1. I believe...

(sorry, deleted the previous comment) I think our conflict is in regards to the prima facie difference between saying: a. There is a possible world wh...

I clarified that in the previous comment:

The paradox, then, is that: 1. "might be wrong" means either "is not certain" or "is not necessarily true" 2. It is acceptable to say that we can have...

@"Srap Tasmaner" I've tried to collect the entirety of my thoughts below. Perhaps you would clarify exactly which step you take issue with? One of the...

Russian State Media Calls Trump 'Our Agent,' Believes Mar-A-Lago Raid Is 'Persecution' :rofl:

Edit: I've tried to summarise my view below so you might not need to address this comment. Are you saying that "I might be wrong" means "I'm not wrong...

You can understand it as epistemic possibility if you like, but using the phrase "I don't happen to know" is misleading given that: Either this is a v...

Again, when I say "I might be wrong" I'm not saying "I'm actually right but there's a possible world where I'm wrong". I'm saying "I might actually be...

Either this is a valid argument: 1. I believe that aliens exist 2. I might be wrong 3. Therefore, aliens do not exist Or it is possible that these thr...

I don't think they have. I said this: These two are true: 1. I believe that aliens exist 2. I might be wrong One of these is true: 3. Aliens exist 4. ...

Modal logic can be used in epistemic terms as well, where ? means "certain" and ? means "not certainly not".

And also from close to the start of this discussion:

That's exactly what I'm saying as I made clear here:

Yes, and I think it's false, and so I think your premise is false. When I say "I believe this but I might be wrong" I'm not saying, in a roundabout wa...

So if I might be wrong then I am wrong?

Continuing on from the above, what is the difference between a true belief and knowledge? If we're fallibilists and agree with the JTB definition of k...

I'm not saying that if aliens exist then I have a true belief and am wrong. I'm saying that if aliens exist then I have a true belief and I might be w...

Yes. 1. I believe that aliens exist 2. I might be wrong These are both true. Can I derive “aliens don’t exist” from 2? No, because aliens can still ex...

I don’t understand what you’re asking. I’m simply saying that I believe that aliens exist but I might actually be wrong. Do you agree?

So returning to my original wording, my claim that I might actually be wrong is true even if aliens happen to exist and I'm not wrong. So I might actu...

Sure, so is the below true? This world might be one of the ones in which aliens don't exist

Trump’s claim that FBI “stole” his three passports turns out to be “nothing like what Trump said” So exactly what I said. They take the boxes then che...

Yes, and do you accept that this is true? To make it simpler to understand, if necessary: 1. This world might be one of the ones in which aliens don't...

I'm not talking about knowledge at this point, just belief. 1. I believe that aliens exist but I don't know that aliens exist. 2. I claim that I might...

Because they shouldn't keep them. This really is quite straightforward stuff.

It's not incompetence, corruption, or stupidity. The search warrant told them to take the box and so they take the box. They're carrying out proper pr...

If it's not an unconstitutional search warrant then they had the legal right (and so it isn't stealing) to take Trump's passports if they were contain...

So you think the search warrant itself is unconstitutional. Well, Trump's legal team can try to appeal it if they want, not that it will do any good n...