Pneumenon

Okay, let's try it again. A belief about a probability is not identical to a probability. Kind of like how a movie about you is not you. I have belief...

A picture of a pipe is not a pipe. A belief that a probability is 50/50 is not a probability. I can believe that a squirrel is an animal. That does no...

Did I? I think you can always ask a person what they believe a probability to be, but that doesn't make their belief a probability.

Why not? Same as my question to Baden. Why do we assume that radical translation must yield the same thing we have? And to both of you: I'm not just b...

Counting this way is correct, because we make it so. And there are cultures that say, "One, two, many," and don't go past a certain number. But suppos...

I agree. It's outside the scope of this thread, but I think there's a point to be made here about epistemic relativism. Maybe elsewhere....

You're saying it's more rational to suspend judgment than to flip a coin. But why?

Perhaps this will help: which part of your argument is about Bayesian mathematics, and which part is an epistemology based on Bayesian mathematics? I ...

I'm not a statistician by any means, but as I understand it, Bayesian theory defines probability by how strongly one believes that something is/will b...

Interesting. Can I get an example where the non-equivalence holds?

I agree that there is no contradiction between ~Bp and ~B~p. Now, kindly answer: does B~p imply believing that the probability of p is 0, and/or vice ...

I have often suspected that Wittgenstein, when we finally "get over him," will be ignored rather than refuted.

I see the computer with my eyeballs. It's not inside of my eyeballs, or inherently eyeballish.

I used to think that vagueness and subjectivity pervaded every statement to some small degree. But, that's really a silly assumption. Is there any ser...

The stuff about Wittgenstein's beetle is amusing. I think that Wittgenstein would have found people's arguments over how to interpret that example qui...

"You can't imagine something that is not in a mind." <-- what is that, other than a claim that everything is mental because I can't think of anything ...

I also like this. And it brings Kant to mind. What would he have said? He could perhaps acknowledge (at least the possibility) that the mind is a fold...

I like this. What I had in in mind - and of course this isn't systematic, which is why it's in the misc forum - is how idealistic philosophy seems to ...

I mean, I agree in one sense: nobody, especially wealthy politicians with a big stake in the economy, wants the shutdowns to go on. That being said, l...

Precisely. There is nothing conspiratorial about the observation that the State is opportunistic about extending its control

The thing I'm worried about is government using the coronavirus panic as a cover to pass draconian legislation.

I strongly suspect that the CCP is lying about the present number of coronavirus cases. Given their prior dishonesty in trying to cover it up, there i...

Let me make sure that I have understood you: you want to say that there is some kind of variation, or change, or flux, or difference, whatever we want...

Yeah, but in philosophy you use "intuition" in kind of a different way. :-)

Why in the world would you appeal to a principle of sufficient reason, if change is not accountable for in terms of sufficient reason? The big problem...

I guess I don't see how re-interpreting it like this solves the problem. It is a positive fact about nature that organized systems require difference....

I may be deeply misunderstanding you, so let me back up here a moment. You said, if I have understood you correctly, that flux (change) provides suffi...

The question isn't about what the laws of physics bear upon, but what explains them. Your claim was: To substantiate this, the vital thing is to show ...

Fair enough, but I think this kicks the can down the road. You're just reducing the regularity of the soap bubble to smaller regularities, which, in t...

A thought: flux loses meaning without differentiation. This is one of those points where philosophers become very coy because it's a battle of the uns...

Is there a way to steer the ship between these? Doing so would necessarily involve dissolving the question somehow. But the dissolution must take some...

What I mean is: in the first case, permanence is apparent because it always goes away after a while, no matter how permanent it looks. Whereas, in the...

Good question. If everything is flux, you make stuff out of the flux, although the permanence of the stuff you make is never true permanence. But if e...

Then I can't help you.

Read the post.

Refusing to answer the question basically means shallower depth of consideration with regard to time, i.e. refusing to reflect on the issue in a philo...

Interesting. What happens if I put on my transcendental idealist hat? Time is the form of our internal intuition, says Kant. My consciousness of my ap...

I know, right? It's kind of fishy. :wink:

To state what a belief is, you have to put it into a sentence with a subject/predicate form. So whether or not beliefs are propositional, you have to ...

Huh?

If you're going to dismiss the discussion in that way, then his original comment about elaboration on experience isn't necessary to begin with. Analyz...

Myth of the Given.

Math can deal with infinities. To say that math has it wrong is silly. You need the concept of infinities to do things like derivatives and integrals,...

A big problem is heterogeneity. Some people rise from the ashes of their failure. Some people get knocked down by the smallest setbacks. There's no co...

Analytic philosophy is just industrialized thinking. Robots will do it better in a few years.

The whole thing seems to come around to a reassessment of priorities. I know I don't want techno-dystopia, and I know that certain human impulses lead...

Shouldwe focus on which one is realer and more effective, or on which one is worthier or more meaningful? For what it's worth, I am in much the same s...

It's true that there are plenty of sighing Romantics who would love to sit around and pine for ages past, and it's true that Heidegger has some of tha...

Okay, cool. I'll riff on that a little. Making itself intelligible is suicide for philosophy, because full disclosure exposes philosophic thinking to ...

This is precisely the sort of reaction that Greta's parents would like her to provoke. If I have a political statement to make, and I have a child do ...