What matters to Trump and the GOP is whether they can plausibly spin this into a victory, and have the means to fight it to the bitter end. Trump hasn...
Trump is about to make a statement. We are at exactly at the point where, according to predictions, Trump would look the strongest. At the end of elec...
Trump is currently fairly comfortably ahead in Florida, which is good for his chances. He's behind in Arizona though, which is bad for him. So far Tru...
That seems to me a perversion (no pun intended) of the notion of morality. Morals / ethics are about interpersonal relationships / conduct. Fantasies ...
I find this connection weird. It has the acrid smell of puritanism to me. An abortion is a medical procedure that aborts a pregnancy. It's not some ki...
It is important to point out that extreme polarization in the US does not originate with social media. There is some evidence it has accelerated since...
I personally tend towards the idea that a dividing line between biology and chemistry, between animate and inanimate, simply does not exist. "Life" is...
The interesting question here is why you are surprised. Is it because you expect at any moment to die? No. It is because you know how guns work, you k...
If Trump looses 2020, he'll just run again in 2024, if he isn't dead or in jail. In fact I fully expect him to pretend he is still the "real" presiden...
Ah, the good old hypocrisy fallacy. You don't get to decide what people are allowed to complain about. What matters is whether the complaint is warran...
The idea is that you figure out what the law is, in a given situation. Laws are after all made for real people in real life. They're not some kind of ...
If consequences were always determined by intention, there would be no difference between intentionalism and consequentialism. The two would necessari...
Eliezer Yudkowski has said something similar, defining knowledge as "the ability to be more confused by fiction than by reality". If you can equally e...
What's wrong with preferring Goebbels over Hitler, in theory? The argument implied here is that, as long as the situation doesn't seem really dire, pe...
The first part of the story makes sense. Burisma hired the son of the US VP to get better connections with US politicians and thereby soften or avoid ...
Of all the reasons for not voting Biden (his actual voting history, his policies etc.) you choose some questionable story about how Biden was maybe so...
In a more general sense, the idea that continued immigration into Europe threatens "western" culture and secular culture more generally seems to be ba...
Unless Biden is clearly ahead after election night or its clear the Republicans loose the Senate, expect the result to be disputed. The electors of th...
It has always been pejorative if you're on the left. But there does seem to be a crisis of progressivism, which ironically has lead to conservatism ha...
Scalia's method was to ask what the text would have meant to an ordinary person at the time it was passed. He believed that only the text of the law b...
Consideration needs to be given to the democratic mandate, but the interpretation and application of legal texts is practiced with that in mind in man...
I have been asking myself if the right thing to do - from the perspective of Barret, who claims to value the SC as an institution, and everyone else w...
It's very odd to me to characterise Jesus' teachings as a ruling system. But is your argument that teaching harmony and kindness was not only unpreced...
I don't even see how this follows in the first place. 1 talks about states of affairs, 2 talks about rights. Essentially, according to the quote of Ra...
The argument presented in the article is hardly convincing, and doesn't address polling at all. Whether or not Biden "has it in the bag" is a fairly i...
I highly doubt that. Today, it's much easier to leverage a mob via Facebook then it is to bend standing institutions to your will. Of course agents of...
I think the plan is fairly obvious in it's broad strokes by now. There are obvious avenues to pursue via violence in that plan. I think it's unlikely ...
Well, there are certainly ominous signs. A republican governor saying that democracy might be suspended in favor of "stability and prosperity". A part...
I think Kant more or less nailed this when he concluded that a) since we are not omnipotent, all that can really be expected from someone is to will g...
So it's at least not absurd to assume some amount of ontological "randomness". As I alluded to a few pages ago, it seems to me that the question of wh...
Yes and no. I am assuming that instead of speculating about ontology, your approach would be to simply focus on the epistemological universe, that is ...
Is it a coincidence that Michigan is one state where the republican legislature might appoint it's own electors? Why are you talking to the propaganda...
Shots will be fired (figuratively and possibly literally) before that will be known with any certainty. According to fivethirtyeight, polling errors h...
Perhaps it's a matter of different definitions of the terms. The strictest form of determinism would be a mechanical determinism, where the state of t...
No evidence of a significant group of "shy Trump supporters" was ever produced. The operative question now isn't whether Trump will win the popular vo...
And that's a fundamental problem. I.e. we cannot just improve our measuring apparatus in some way. Either we come up with new physics, or this stays, ...
That's certainly one explanation. It doesn't seem to be a move to boost his chances at re-election, quite the opposite. So it's either unrelated to th...
And the result of all this is that we cannot predict the exact time an individual atom will decay. We can only give probabilities for timeframes, corr...
Probably. We seem to be misunderstanding each other pretty much across the board. I am really just talking about the probabilistic quality of QM, the ...
That's not where the uncertainty comes from, the way I understand it. The uncertainty is fundamental. Not all values of the system can be known at a t...
Right, I tend to mix this up. What I was getting at is that classical mechanics arise from events that are not mechanical, and not determined in the w...
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