The whole body of pro-vaccine responses on this thread (and the other) has been predicated entirely on that premise. You've said almost exactly that y...
The point is that 'attention' paid to it by a bunch of criminal profiteers is not really 'welcome' so much as begrudgingly accepted as the least worst...
Did I say the vaccine wouldn't be useful? That we're relying on a criminal profiteer for the health of a continent's children is not 'Great News' it's...
Yes, But this is probably a different GlaxoSmithKline so great news! In other news Lockheed Martin have come up with a brilliant strategy for dealing ...
I've honestly never come across someone so completely self-assured as you. It's been an eye-opener reading your responses, but I think when we reach "...
No, you've not given the incidence rate there. No. Someone winning the NBA and Lebron James winning the NBA are two different events, statistically. O...
Scrap my last response, I'm not interested. I've got a question I'm far more interested in, if you'll indulge me - What do you think is happening here...
Where does it say that the prevalence and the risk are the same? Provide the quote that you think supports your view. OK, so for a stroke, say, give m...
Where do I say the knowing all the variables is what we're restricting risk analysis to. Read more carefully. No. Here's a primer on the differences. ...
Yeah, your guess is right. I don't think the fact that we can theorise a scale of increasing external causes and concomitant decreasing internal assum...
They do, some more than others. That's what I'm saying. We can't but believe in some external reality which our representations reflect, we also would...
The answer to your question is in the post. You even quoted it. Clearly I should have explained. If I know all the factors determining the fall of a c...
Sometimes. But the point I'm making is really just that it's scalar, not binomial. At one end is something like the very concept of an external world ...
Risk is determined by variables. Assessing the impact of those variables is a risk-based decision. Ignoring them is not. It's nothing to do with alway...
Oh, sorry. It was related to... ...which I should have clarified. The appeal to the stone was (so far as I understand it) supposed to refute idealism ...
I think some matters are set in stone and other vary. The very idea of an external reality I think is one such. For me, it's the difference between mo...
Depends on what you do with the 'see' bit. If I were unsure of the location of an oasis, would we verify it by looking down the road and 'seeing'? No,...
The claim of yours I'm disputing is that national prevalence rates are used to assess individual risk even when there are known varibles. So I don't k...
So an example has to be exactly the thing itself? That's an unusual interpretation. I'll try to be more specific for you. Variables which we know to a...
Right. So in what cases does the dubious know-ability of reality come in to play? Is it a model you often use to counter the argument of your fried Bo...
As I said to @"Olivier5" above, the 'evidence on the ground' as you put it, the broad picture, is so utterly uninteresting entirely because it is so u...
Yes, there are limits, the point is reality still doesn't arbitrate in the way naive realists would like here. Note the current record. We know there'...
Take a look back at the number of wildly sensationalist pro-establishment articles you've posted, without a single complaint about their tone or use o...
The BMJ article is more measured. I'll continue to look for the one you're after though "Everything's absolutely fine, no-one did anything wrong becau...
Lovely bit of research to muddy those waters. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1460-9568.2008.06344.x?deniedAccessCustomisedMessage=&...
I don't think that need be relegated to an opinion. First and foremost the fault lies with the scientific community. In my opinion... 1. Nothing which...
It's not China we need to worry about. It's the extent to which the medical establishment are hopelessly tangled up in this. After having published a ...
The data is fine. Not as good as it could be, but mostly fine. What I take issue with is the refusal to address it in favour of these huge broad brush...
Is the prevalence of deaths from COVID the best estimate of risk available for any individual? Is the national R0 value the best available estimate of...
Still having trouble with the actual line of argument I see. Do you understand the point of this sentence at all? It's in the form if A then B right? ...
To be honest, I find the whole notion of agreeing and disagreeing in a medium like this completely baffling, but I'm here to learn. Social media, and ...
You asked for an example. You know what an example is, right? So there are no variables involved at all? Strokes are a random event, like the roulette...
So help me out. What is it that I'm missing. This is why this place fascinates me so much. I've been in psychology for over 30 years, my views have ch...
The RR for lung cancer and smoking is 6.99 for men and 5.09 for women. Yes. No. To my knowledge none of the variables determining the fall of a roulet...
Consensus was not the claim. Certainty was. So demonstrate the necessary link between consensus and certainty. Start by listing the factors that make ...
You're associating the Covid vaccine response to things like 2+2=4, wearing a bulletproof vest, and (in other places) the earth being flat, and other ...
The similarity between 2=2+4 and Covid vaccination was the question. The properties they share. We could do Bullet-proof vests in the case of being sh...
Explain? Say, the FDA claim the vaccine is 95% effective,but it turns out they were overplaying their hand and it's only 60% effective, less after six...
Why would you think that? What would be the comeback on the FDA if the vaccine was not as effective as they claimed? They're hardly going to be taken ...
No, yes and yes. But his has nothing to do with the line of argument. This is not "write some things we think about Covid", it's a supposed to be a di...
Then find me the fully qualified mathematician employed as a professor in mathematics at a bone fide university who claims that 2+2 does not equal fou...
Did you even bother to read the list of risks I presaged the enquiry with? Only around half of them were of a medical nature. So again, why would a do...
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