Fool

You guys keep quoting me. I’m a different fool. Btw this conversation seems rather childish.

No one is evil, clearly. To reduce human strife to anything but humanity itself seems superstitious. So I agree. The question that interests me is Wha...

I just saw it myself. I knew it would be Marvel/DC (or whatever it’s called) trash, but I was curious about the message and wanted to support the prod...

this is where I make an ironic point about the number of posts before a Quine reference

I don’t think I have anything original to say about the philosophy around psychology, but I do have a unique perspective. I design tests to measure ad...

@"Jeremiah" If you revise the parameters to say the teacher picks one and only one of A or D to be true regardless of the content of the answer, then ...

By the way, I appreciate your dialing down the vitriol. I am happy to debate this as friends.

I would call that more of a guideline, second to the guideline that your theory should be empirically adequate. That said, I don’t consider this a que...

I think this is a meta-ethical question. Looks like we’re arguing about what is actually ethical. I expected this thread to address realism v. anti-re...

That is interesting.

Thank you, sir/madam.

I mean, I agree that it’s a defective prompt in the pedagogical sense. I would protest as a student. But I’m gonna carry on with the analysis. Btw, I ...

I don’t see the distinction. If I had to choose what I’m trying to analyze, it would be the latter. I agree, we don’t care how many students successfu...

I’m construing it as a true/false check on a send/receive transaction. The test sends a prompt and sets a “correct answer” variable on the back end. T...

In that case, broken questions can still be coherent.

Yeah. I didn’t say it would be fair. It would be coherent. The test also wouldn’t have any pedagogical use, but that’s a practical problem.

You might say the two-event analysis looks more baroque, but it’s also more adequate.

I’m not sympathetic to the “broken question” view. I assume there’s a correct answer, and then I assume the answer choice selection is random, as stip...

The argument shouldn’t be about the answer choice sample space. There are 4 elements and, when you de-dupe, the frequency of ‘25%’ has to be 50%. But ...

I debated an “agnostic atheist” at length some years ago. I ended up writing a full-on essay to educate him. I stopped some way through because it was...

Notice that I never called you unintelligent, and I actually thanked you for your entertaining post.

So we agree that we're dealing with two separate chance events. We've also precisely clarified the difference in our logic. Your scenario makes sense ...

Ah, that's the difference, thanks. Sorry, wasn't going to chime in until I could re-read the whole thread, but this settles it. Here's what I'm saying...

Strange, that’s exactly what I did, but I get a random variable centering on 33%. The logic must be different, but I don’t know PHP. I can work with R...

There are two random events: the random selection of the actual correct answer from the list of 3 unique possibilities (ignoring that the right answer...

@"Jeremiah" There he is. Good timing, was just checking one last time. I am a fool, but I know intelligence when I see it. I will keep my thoughts abo...

@"Jeremiah" Your answer to this question will go far toward clearing things up. I’m thinking of a number. It’s either 1, 2 or 3. If you randomly choos...

Just ran the experiment in a spreadsheet. The outcome is in my profile image. Before any iterative process of revising the actual correct answer, the ...

Yeah, thought we were all on board with that.

Granted. That’s not at issue, right?

There are 4 answer choices, each 25% likely to get picked. There are 3 unique possibilities, each 33% likely to be correct. Whatever the distribution ...

Newp. The chance of selecting one of the 3 choices is different from the chance of selecting the correct answer choice. Look at my profile image. The ...

They don’t. I didn’t see anyone say that. Answer choice ‘25%’ has a 50% chance , obviously. We noticed that.

Only half paying attention here, but it looks like you’re confusing the probability of selecting a unique answer choice with the probability of select...

Since some of you seem to be struggling with this. Also see my profile pic if that's easier. First Glance Schematization Answer Choices Chance Correct...

Fun exercise. Here’s how I experienced it. *read* “Hm. Multiple choice random accuracy is 1/p for p choices, so the correct answer to this question is...

I’m not optimistic this will go anywhere before everyone agrees on the definition of meaning. That said, this seems simple to me. We have a naturalist...

@"StreetlightX" I hesitate to opine on this bc I know nothing about neuroscience, but I feel very sympathetic to what you said.

Political problems are inherently normative, so it’s hard to see how you can naturalize them, i.e. address them scientifically. Sure, there are releva...

Nice catch. I was going to say the bias is the giveaway. If the acceleration were independent of distance, it would make no difference, I agree. Maybe...

@"SophistiCat" Hey, you’re making a lot of the same points I would make if I held your view. What’s your background? It’s smart to distinguish frequen...

@"Codger" A little tension in an internet forum is par for the course, man. There's still fun to be had.

Whatever, here's the short version. @"SophistiCat" I'm suggesting this evidence may not be necessary. Even if we had to rely on red or blue-shifted li...

Just posted a civilized reply but it’s not here anymore. Am I being moderated?

deleted - redundant

@"Bitter Crank" That dude is awesome. Never heard of him, but that song has a way of making you take a hard look at yourself. Thanks for that.

I heard Krauss say that, and it annoyed me. i’m sure they’ll eventually discover space is expanding and then put 2 and 2 together. There’s a lot of sc...

Oh la la

C’est l’enfer

I would say it was more of an alley with not much focus on Trump, but very well. It’s perhaps a bit past time to return to the main topic.