I find Craig creepy. I suspect, like many outspoken religionists, he's more interested in self-promotion than religious devotion. Having said that, mo...
It's kind of ugly to talk about art in a philosophical way, but seeing as I was invited, here are some fairly random thoughts...No quote either, just ...
I prefer them both. I want to come back to 'Murica and live out of Greyhound buses until I get so caked in dirt they kick me off and I have to trek up...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-odds-of-an-electoral-college-popular-vote-split-are-increasing/ From one week before the election: "We’ve wri...
Sorry, I missed that reply because of the CPR thing. Emergencies first! Randomly using the word "scientism" is not going to get you out of this. Anyho...
Let me spell it out for you @"Agustino" 1) If you predicted Trump would win the overall vote percentage wise by any margin then you were more wrong th...
Don't try to dodge, especially in such a cowardly way by pretending I don't want to discuss the issue. I do, which is why I asked you the fair questio...
On the basis that Trump was more popular, which he wasn't, and captured the heart of the nation, which he didn't. In other words, you guessed and were...
Buxte qualified his answer just like I did. I said "It depends". He said "unless". Those are both qualifying statements. He wouldn't do anything eithe...
You could ask them or watch to see if they are doing CPR. You could shout at them that you can do it and take over if you can. Doing something stupid ...
No, because you were using it to predict who would win the vote. Each person has one vote. The intensity of energy of individuals is irrelevant in an ...
OK, so your gut got it all wrong about Trump capturing the heart of the nation etc. What is your new reason for predicting the win then since that's n...
And you still haven't explained how Trump "captured the heart of the nation" when he lost the popular vote. The heart of the nation is based on the el...
Show me where you did that before the election. Quote yourself. Otherwise tell me what your predicted percentages were because if you want to compare ...
OK, so now you're saying your prediction was that Clinton would get more votes than Trump (and Trump would just win by the electoral college), and you...
And there was me thinking you were a convert to the Agustino method for getting things wrong and then claiming credit for being a genius. Close call.....
OK, but what exactly do you disagree with in what I wrote? I was pretty specific and qualified in what I was saying about polling. Plus, it took me at...
This is calculated for (although you may be right that it wasn't calculated for enough in the last presidential election or others you've experienced)...
I predict Agustino won't explain why him predicting Trump would get more votes than Hillary because he was more popular than her, and unlike almost ev...
Yes, @"Michael", is a bit of a wild one. No matter how many times we suggest he use logic and reason in his arguments, he just can't keep his gut feel...
You're conflating what's fair and your imaginary ability to predict things. So, as I said, 538 were within 1.5% of the final tally and were right that...
Last thing, for all you poll doubters, the last prediction of 538 gave Trump a decent 28.6% chance of winning the election and predicted the result wo...
I still marginally prefer Trump to Clinton on a personal level btw folks. Mostly because he appears to be less calculating in his lying. Regarding pol...
That's my point, Trump was less popular and less desired by Americans, so all this stuff about America wanting him is wrong. They didn't. (Clinton won...
That's not a method, it's a love song to Trump and totally irrelevant. Don't you realize that Trump would have lost if it were not for an unlucky brea...
Because no-one here is providing a method more consistently reliable than polling to listen to. You can have a bad method or no method and still be ri...
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