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How could the logical positivists get it so wrong?

Shawn October 27, 2018 at 20:31 7400 views 22 comments
By which I mean, that if they based their models on scientific truths, then wasn't the obvious Popperian falsification principle the obvious choice?

Comments (22)

Wayfarer October 27, 2018 at 20:35 #222894
Logical positivism was one of the things Popper was responding to. The Vienna Circle were mainly active between the wars, and A J. Ayer published Language, Truth and Logic in 1936. And positivism in the broad sense of ‘a philosophical system recognizing only that which can be scientifically verified or which is capable of logical or mathematical proof, and therefore rejecting metaphysics and theism’ is still highly influential even if only tacit much of the time.
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 20:38 #222895
Quoting Wayfarer
Logical positivism was one of the things Popper was responding to. The Vienna Circle were mainly active between the wars, and A J. Ayer published Language, Truth and Logic in 1936. And positivism in the broad sense of ‘a philosophical system recognizing only that which can be scientifically verified or which is capable of logical or mathematical proof, and therefore rejecting metaphysics and theism’ is still highly influential even if only tacit much of the time.


My impression was that logical positivism died with the Vienna Circle dismantlement. Do you know any sources for current logical positivists? I know of neo-Fregelians, two dimensionalists, and Kripe?

Wayfarer October 27, 2018 at 20:44 #222896
Reply to Posty McPostface As I said, a lot of positivism is tacit - it’s not defended as a formal philosophy but is implicit.

It’s worth recalling who invented the term ‘positivism’ and why - it was Auguste Comte, who founded sociology. Positivism was a form of historicism, i.e. culture evolved through progressive stages, beginning with animism, then monotheism, metaphysics, and then culminating in the emergence into the sunlit uplands of science. And though they don’t use the terminology, it is clearly visible in nearly all the writings of the scientific atheism of Dawkins, Dennett, Pinker, and others of that ilk. In that sense, positivism remains one of the predominant influences on scientific-secular thinking.
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 20:55 #222897
Quoting Wayfarer
As I said, a lot of positivism is tacit - it’s not defended as a formal philosophy but is implicit.

It’s worth recalling who invented the term ‘positivism’ and why - it was Auguste Comte, who founded sociology. Positivism was a form of historicism, i.e. culture evolved through progressive stages, beginning with animism, then monotheism, metaphysics, and then culminating in the emergence into the sunlit uplands of science. And though they don’t use the terminology, it is clearly visible in nearly all the writings of the scientific atheism of Dawkins, Dennett, Pinker, and others of that ilk. In that sense, positivism remains one of the predominant influences on scientific-secular thinking.


Thanks for educating on the current landscape of scientific thought.
Wayfarer October 27, 2018 at 20:59 #222899
Worth a read :wink:

//particularly the last sentence.//
Janus October 27, 2018 at 22:16 #222911
Reply to Posty McPostface

Are you asking how they could have missed the Popperian insight that scientific theories are never verified, but are merely held to be true until and unless they are falsified, or something else?
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 22:17 #222912
Quoting Janus
Are you asking how they could have missed the Popperian insight that scientific theories are never verified, but are merely falsified, or something else?


Yes, that's what I'm asking. And hence why Wittgenstein rejected the logical positivists with his version of the falsifiable principle implicit in the Principle of Bivalence.
Janus October 27, 2018 at 22:20 #222915
Reply to Posty McPostface

Of course this insight may be found already implicit in Hume and explicit in Peirce. I'm not familiar with the 'Principle of Bivalence' so I can't see how it might relate to the notion of falsification.
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 22:22 #222916
Quoting Janus
Of course this insight may be found already implicit in Hume and explicit in Peirce. I'm not familiar with the 'Principle of Bivalence' so I can't see how it might relate to the notion of falsification.


The Principle of Bipolairty, states that anything that can be, can be otherwise.
Janus October 27, 2018 at 22:24 #222918
Reply to Posty McPostface

I'm not too sure what that could mean. My understanding of falsification is not that something is first true and then becomes false, for example.
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 22:26 #222920
Quoting Janus
I'm not too sure what that could mean.


Show me where I lost you.
Janus October 27, 2018 at 22:46 #222932
Reply to Posty McPostface

I can think of a couple of ways that something that is one way could be otherwise; one to do with actuality and the other to do with logical possibility. In terms of actuality something could change and become something it previously was not. In terms of possibility, something could have been other than it is.

I am not seeing how either of these relate to falsifiability, at least as Popper, according to my understanding, conceived it..
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 22:51 #222938
Quoting Janus
I can think of a couple of ways that something that is one way could be otherwise; one to do with actuality and the other to do with logical possibility. In terms of actuality something could change and become something it previously was not. In terms of possibility, something could have been other than it is.

I am not seeing how either of these relate to falsifiability, at least as Popper, according to my understanding, conceived it..


Yes, that is under the guise that you believe in metaphysical necessity and determinism.
Wayfarer October 27, 2018 at 22:52 #222940
Interesting to note also that in the current disputes over 'string theory', doubts are being cast on the validity of falsifiability. So much so, that the string theory protagonists refer to those demanding falsifiability as 'the popperazi'.
Janus October 27, 2018 at 22:54 #222941
Reply to Posty McPostface

Sorry Posty, but I can't see what "metaphysical necessity and determinism" has to do with it, and I am still no clearer as to how this relates to Popperian falsification.
Janus October 27, 2018 at 22:57 #222942
Reply to Wayfarer

I think the principle of falsifiability has long been held to be, at least in some quarters, unsustainable. It's a logical problem insofar as to falsify something is logically equivalent to verifying its negation.
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 22:57 #222943
Reply to Janus

Sorry, I must have made that up. My apologies.
Janus October 27, 2018 at 23:01 #222945
Reply to Posty McPostface

No need to apologize, Posty, you must have had something in mind. Even if it were nonsense it's good to get it out there for examination. Remember Wittgenstein's aphorism: “Don’t for heaven’s sake, be afraid of talking nonsense! But you must pay attention to your nonsense.”
Shawn October 27, 2018 at 23:04 #222947
Well, if you insist, then what I had in mind is that the Principle of Bipolarity, only applies to contingent truths, but the more I think about it, why not necessary ones too?
Wayfarer October 27, 2018 at 23:17 #222951
I think the ‘principle of falsifiability’ is a perfectly sound idea - it simply says, if you can’t test a theory against empirical observation, then it’s not a scientific hypothesis. Can’t see anything the matter with it.

In respect of current speculative physics, the critics of string theory are saying that no conceivable result could falsify the theory, as the ‘strings’ themselves are forever out of scope for empirical investigation, and if there are other universes, then so too are they.

I was reflecting the other day on the fact that the oft-quoted phrase ‘how many angels can dance on the head of a pin’ actually started from a debate about whether two angelic intelligences could occupy the same location - which has resonances with the whole debate over the meaning of superposition in physics. ‘plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose’ :-)
Arkady October 28, 2018 at 14:03 #223020
Quoting Wayfarer
In respect of current speculative physics, the critics of string theory are saying that no conceivable result could falsify the theory, as the ‘strings’ themselves are forever out of scope for empirical investigation, and if there are other universes, then so too are they.

Not to quibble, but I'm not sure it's correct to say that no conceivable result could falsify (or verify) string theory: it's just that the energy levels needed to test the theory may well be forever out of reach of practical implementation. So, string theory may be unfalsifiable in practice, though not in principle.

Having said that, nothing in my post should be construed as a defense or condemnation of the content of string theory or any variant thereof, which I take no position on, mostly because I'm grossly unqualified to do so. I just wanted to point out that there's a relevant distinction between a theory's being untestable in (current) practice and untestable in principle. The latter seems a much more dire state of affairs for an ostensibly scientific theory.
Wayfarer October 28, 2018 at 20:17 #223060
Reply to Arkady I do understand how difficult it is to fathom current mathematical physics (although discovered a useful PBS video series on ‘strings’ yesterday.) But as I understand it, the argument is indeed about whether string theory can ever be testable, under any energies.

One of the key papers in the argument was by George Ellis and Joe Silk, Defend the Integrity of Scientific Method, which starts:

This year (2014), debates in physics circles took a worrying turn. Faced with difficulties in applying fundamental theories to the observed Universe, some researchers called for a change in how theoretical physics is done. They began to argue — explicitly — that if a theory is sufficiently elegant and explanatory, it need not be tested experimentally, breaking with centuries of philosophical tradition of defining scientific knowledge as empirical. We disagree. As the philosopher of science Karl Popper argued: a theory must be falsifiable to be scientific.


The sceptics include Silk and Ellis, Peter Woit (‘Not Even Wrong’), Lee Smolin (‘The Trouble with Physics’) and now Sabine Hossfielder (‘Lost in Math’. )

There seems to be an emerging consensus that supersymmetry is not going to be validated - it was supposed to have been found by the LHC by now and there’s no sign of it. There is an undercurrent of physics being ‘in crisis’. [s]Maybe it will turn out that at the end of the day, matter is unintelligible.[/s]